Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Naftan W vs Smorgon W

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga Women Atlant Stadium, Novopolotsk
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mikhan D.
13' Event
Vinnikova S.
19'
Sub
Petrushko K. In: Udot K.
Out: Petrushko K.

AI Match Summary

Naftan W in this Vysshaya Liga Women matchup, with the score ending 10-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naftan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Naftan W
15%
Draws
17%
Smorgon W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Naftan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Smorgon W haven't matched Naftan W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Naftan W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Naftan W Clean Sheet 20%
Smorgon W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Naftan W Smorgon W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 1
Draws 1 1
Losses 12 27
Goals Scored 2.1 0.1
Goals Conceded 1.72 6.83
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Vysshaya Liga Women
Smorgon W vs Naftan W
0:1
May 4, 2026 Vysshaya Liga Women
Naftan W vs Smorgon W
10:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Naftan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinnikova S.
5 Goals
Assists Leader Aleshina A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

Smorgon W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naftan W 85 / 100
Smorgon W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Naftan W Smorgon W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naftan W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smorgon W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Naftan W found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Naftan W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Naftan W VS Smorgon W
2.13 Goals Scored 0.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Naftan W

(Home)
19 Sept
Naftan W
2 : 1
Belshina W
12 Sept
Naftan W
6 : 0
Dyussh-Polesgu W
28 Aug
Smorgon W
0 : 1
Naftan W
23 Aug
Naftan W
3 : 2
FC Gomel W
18 Aug
Naftan W
2 : 4
Din. Minsk W
Page 1 of 6

Smorgon W

(Away)
18 Sept
Smorgon W
0 : 2
Belarus U19 W
11 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev W
7 : 0
Smorgon W
28 Aug
Smorgon W
0 : 1
Naftan W
22 Aug
Dyussh-Polesgu W
0 : 1
Smorgon W
15 Aug
Smorgon W
0 : 3
FC Gomel W
Page 1 of 6