Sport Picks

Ukraine

Persha Liga 2014/2015

Stal Alchevsk

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Naftovik-Ukrnafta play Stal Alchevsk in the Persha Liga 2014/2015. Naftovik-Ukrnafta are favorites here. Recently, Naftovik-Ukrnafta averaged 0.81 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. Stal Alchevsk averaged 0.43 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. In past meetings, Naftovik-Ukrnafta won 2, Stal Alchevsk won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 23, 2015 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Naftovik-Ukrnafta and 1.00 for Stal Alchevsk. This points to a Naftovik-Ukrnafta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Naftovik-Ukrnafta

25%

Draws

15%

Stal Alchevsk

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Naftovik-Ukrnafta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Naftovik-Ukrnafta picked up more points recently compared to Stal Alchevsk.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 52%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Naftovik-Ukrnafta Clean Sheet 23%

Stal Alchevsk Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 47%

Second Half Goal 49%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Naftovik-Ukrnafta	Stal Alchevsk
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	9	4
Draws	7	0
Losses	16	26
Goals Scored	0.81	0.43
Goals Conceded	1.31	0.9

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2015 Persha Liga

Naftovik-Ukrnafta vs Stal Alchevsk

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Oct 19, 2014 Persha Liga

Stal Alchevsk vs Naftovik-Ukrnafta

Possession: 41% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

May 18, 2014 Persha Liga

Stal Alchevsk vs Naftovik-Ukrnafta

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Oct 5, 2013 Persha Liga

Naftovik-Ukrnafta vs Stal Alchevsk

Possession: 42% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

3:0

Apr 6, 2013 Persha Liga

Naftovik-Ukrnafta vs Stal Alchevsk

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Naftovik-Ukrnafta 59 / 100

Stal Alchevsk 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Naftovik-Ukrnafta Stal Alchevsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naftovik-Ukrnafta Win (1)

Secondary Pick Naftovik-Ukrnafta & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Naftovik-Ukrnafta attacking → ← attacking Stal Alchevsk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naftovik-Ukrnafta scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Stal Alchevsk let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Naftovik-Ukrnafta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Stal Alchevsk lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 12

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Oleksandriya	30	22	6	2	53:15	72
2	Stal Kamianske	30	17	9	4	45:21	60
3	Hirnyk-Sport	30	16	9	5	44:24	57
4	Zirka Kropyvnytskyi	30	14	7	9	42:27	49
5	Desna	30	12	11	7	44:27	47
6	Dynamo Kyiv 2	30	12	8	10	35:29	44
7	Kobra	30	12	8	10	30:25	44
8	Sumy	30	12	7	11	35:41	43
9	Kryvbas	30	10	12	8	32:26	42
10	FC Poltava	30	11	9	10	29:27	42
11	FK Ternopil	30	11	8	11	33:49	41
12	Naftovik-Ukrnafta	30	10	10	10	32:34	40
13	Nyva Ternopil	30	8	3	19	25:52	27
14	MFK Mykolaiv	30	6	6	18	34:67	24
15	Stal Alchevsk	30	5	0	25	16:28	15
16	Bukovyna	30	4	3	23	24:61	15