Sport Picks
Nagano Parceiro vs Azul Claro Numazu Prediction & H2H Stats
Japan
J3 League 2025 Nagano U Stadium, Nagano 
Match Events
6'
6'
Yanagimachi K.
Assist: Mukai H.
44'
44'
Gyotoku E.
46'
46'
Sub
Lim Ji-hoon In: Hasegawa Y.
Out: Lim Ji-hoon
AI Match Summary
The J3 League 2025 game between Nagano Parceiro and Azul Claro Numazu finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nagano Parceiro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Azul Claro Numazu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Nagano Parceiro carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Azul Claro Numazu a 41% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 10%
Azul Claro Numazu Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nagano Parceiro | Azul Claro Numazu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 25, 2025 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Azul Claro Numazu
2:1
May 18, 2025 J3 League
Azul Claro Numazu vs Nagano Parceiro
0:0
Oct 27, 2024 J3 League
Azul Claro Numazu vs Nagano Parceiro
1:1
Mar 30, 2024 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Azul Claro Numazu
3:1
Oct 29, 2023 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Azul Claro Numazu
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nagano Parceiro Compare
Top Goalscorer Shin K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Azul Claro Numazu Compare
Top Goalscorer Yanagimachi K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nagano Parceiro 26 / 100
Azul Claro Numazu 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nagano Parceiro Azul Claro Numazu
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Azul Claro Numazu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nagano Parceiro's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Azul Claro Numazu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Nagano Parceiro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nagano Parceiro VS Azul Claro Numazu
1.38 Goals Scored 3.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Nagano Parceiro
(Home) 26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0 Gifu
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1 Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Mito
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0 Gifu
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1 Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Mito
30 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 2 Thespakusatsu Gunma
19 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
2 : 1 Fukui Utd.
Page 1 of 4
Azul Claro Numazu
(Away) 26 Aug
Chiba
2 : 1 Azul Claro Numazu
19 Aug
Arterivo Wakayama
0 : 6 Azul Claro Numazu
15 Mar
Iwata
1 : 2 Azul Claro Numazu
14 Dec
Azul Claro Numazu
1 : 1 Reilac Shiga
07 Dec
Reilac Shiga
3 : 2 Azul Claro Numazu
Page 1 of 6
26 Aug
Chiba
2 : 1 Azul Claro Numazu
19 Aug
Arterivo Wakayama
0 : 6 Azul Claro Numazu
15 Mar
Iwata
1 : 2 Azul Claro Numazu
07 Dec
Reilac Shiga
3 : 2 Azul Claro Numazu
29 Nov
Kamatamare Sanuki
1 : 0 Azul Claro Numazu
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tochigi City | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 69:37 | 77 |
| 2 | Vanraure | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 46:23 | 72 |
| 3 | FC Osaka | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 55:33 | 71 |
| 4 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 61:45 | 67 |
| 5 | Kagoshima United | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 69:44 | 66 |
| 6 | Kanazawa | 38 | 18 | 5 | 15 | 53:45 | 59 |
| 7 | Tochigi SC | 38 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 42:36 | 58 |
| 8 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 46:41 | 56 |
| 9 | Nara Club | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 50:46 | 56 |
| 10 | Fukushima United | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 60:67 | 56 |
| 11 | Gainare Tottori | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 44:49 | 51 |
| 12 | SC Sagamihara | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 38:50 | 50 |
| 13 | Gifu | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 52:60 | 47 |
| 14 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 56:59 | 46 |
| 15 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:50 | 43 |
| 16 | Ryukyu | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 41:57 | 40 |
| 17 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 41:57 | 38 |
| 18 | Kochi United | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 40:60 | 38 |
| 19 | Nagano Parceiro | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 29:57 | 35 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 40:57 | 28 |
Promotion - J2 League (Main)
Promotion - J3 League 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League 2025 (Relegation)
