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Stadium Background

Nagano Parceiro vs Fukushima United

Japan Japan

J2/J3 League Nagano U Stadium, Nagano
Nagano Parceiro Logo

Nagano Parceiro

1 - 3
FT
Fukushima United Logo

Fukushima United

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Toma H.
Assist: Einaga T.
21' Event
Izumi S.
Assist: Anzai T.
46'
Sub
Shimizu S. In: Osaki S.
Out: Shimizu S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fukushima United in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fukushima United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Nagano Parceiro
20%
Draws
51%
Fukushima United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fukushima United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Fukushima United have won more games recently than Nagano Parceiro.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 68%
Fukushima United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nagano Parceiro Fukushima United
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 2 1
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.1 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 J3 League
Fukushima United vs Nagano Parceiro
4:3
Apr 29, 2026 J2/J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Fukushima United
1:3
Mar 8, 2026 J2/J3 League
Fukushima United vs Nagano Parceiro
4:2
Sep 28, 2025 J3 League
Fukushima United vs Nagano Parceiro
1:4
Mar 23, 2025 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Fukushima United
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nagano Parceiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Yoshida K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Fukushima United Compare

Top Goalscorer Toma H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Izumi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nagano Parceiro 41 / 100
Fukushima United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nagano Parceiro Fukushima United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nagano Parceiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nagano Parceiro's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Fukushima United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Nagano Parceiro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nagano Parceiro VS Fukushima United
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nagano Parceiro

(Home)
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3
Nagano Parceiro
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0
Gifu
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1
Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1
Mito
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1
Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 6

Fukushima United

(Away)
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3
Nagano Parceiro
18 Sept
FC Osaka
4 : 1
Fukushima United
12 Sept
Fukushima United
1 : 2
Kumamoto
09 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3
Vegalta Sendai
05 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 3
Fukushima United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vegalta Sendai 18 16 0 2 37:15 43
2 Blaublitz 18 11 0 7 23:16 35
3 Shonan Bellmare 18 11 0 7 28:20 31
4 Yokohama FC 18 10 0 8 36:28 29
5 SC Sagamihara 18 9 0 9 33:36 28
6 Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 7 0 11 27:39 23
7 Montedio Yamagata 18 8 0 10 22:25 22
8 Tochigi City 18 7 0 11 22:35 21
9 Vanraure 17 5 0 12 16:23 18
10 Tochigi SC 17 5 0 12 24:31 17
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kofu 17 11 0 6 20:12 33
2 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 18 11 0 7 28:22 31
3 Iwaki 18 11 0 7 26:20 31
4 Omiya Ardija 18 10 0 8 39:29 30
5 Fujieda MYFC 18 9 0 9 24:23 30
6 Gifu 17 9 0 8 23:25 27
7 Matsumoto Yamaga 18 8 0 10 33:25 26
8 Iwata 18 9 0 9 20:25 25
9 Fukushima United 18 6 0 12 30:43 18
10 Nagano Parceiro 18 5 0 13 17:36 16
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toyama 18 13 0 5 40:26 38
2 Albirex Niigata 18 12 0 6 24:19 35
3 Tokushima 18 11 0 7 38:23 32
4 Kochi United 18 10 0 8 25:23 30
5 Ehime 18 9 0 9 26:20 28
6 Kanazawa 18 10 0 8 20:23 27
7 Nara Club 18 7 0 11 27:36 21
8 FC Osaka 18 6 0 12 18:23 20
9 Imabari 18 6 0 12 15:21 20
10 Kamatamare Sanuki 18 6 0 12 15:34 19
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki 18 15 0 3 35:13 47
2 Kagoshima United 18 12 0 6 27:16 33
3 Sagan Tosu 18 10 0 8 26:18 32
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 18 10 0 8 27:24 29
5 Kumamoto 18 9 0 9 21:21 27
6 Gainare Tottori 18 10 0 8 24:25 27
7 Oita Trinita 18 7 0 11 19:20 22
8 Reilac Shiga 18 7 0 11 16:29 21
9 Ryukyu 18 6 0 12 17:28 17
10 Giravanz Kitakyushu 18 4 0 14 17:35 15
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J2/J3 League (Placement Play Offs)