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Nagano Parceiro vs Gifu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Nagano U Stadium, Nagano
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Hasegawa Y.
46'
Sub
Ogushi S. In: Matsui T.
Out: Ogushi S.
46'
Sub
Yashiki Y. In: Kim Yu-Geon
Out: Yashiki Y.

AI Match Summary

Nagano Parceiro in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nagano Parceiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Nagano Parceiro
15%
Draws
26%
Gifu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nagano Parceiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Gifu at 1.61 per game, Nagano Parceiro at 1.13.
  • Model gives Nagano Parceiro a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gifu have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 13%
Gifu Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nagano Parceiro Gifu
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 2 2
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Gifu
1:0
May 9, 2026 J2/J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Gifu
2:3
Mar 28, 2026 J2/J3 League
Gifu vs Nagano Parceiro
5:1
Sep 20, 2025 J3 League
Gifu vs Nagano Parceiro
2:1
Jun 14, 2025 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Gifu
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nagano Parceiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Kutsuna K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gifu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nagano Parceiro 48 / 100
Gifu 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nagano Parceiro Gifu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nagano Parceiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nagano Parceiro found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Gifu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Nagano Parceiro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nagano Parceiro VS Gifu
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nagano Parceiro

(Home)
10 Oct
Kochi United
1 : 3
Nagano Parceiro
03 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1
Nara Club
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3
Nagano Parceiro
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0
Gifu
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1
Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 6

Gifu

(Away)
03 Oct
Gifu
0 : 2
Renofa Yamaguchi
29 Sept
Gifu
1 : 2
Yokohama FC
26 Sept
Kamatamare Sanuki
3 : 4
Gifu
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0
Gifu
12 Sept
Nara Club
2 : 1
Gifu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 9 7 2 0 19:10 23
2 Ehime 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 Nara Club 10 6 2 2 21:16 20
4 SC Sagamihara 10 5 3 2 18:12 18
5 FC Osaka 10 4 5 1 18:9 17
6 Renofa Yamaguchi 9 5 2 2 13:7 17
7 Kanazawa 10 4 2 4 17:14 14
8 Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 7:4 14
9 Reilac Shiga 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Nagano Parceiro 10 4 2 4 14:14 14
11 Gifu 9 4 1 4 19:10 13
12 Gainare Tottori 9 4 1 4 12:18 13
13 Ryukyu 10 3 2 5 11:14 11
14 Tochigi SC 9 2 4 3 11:14 10
15 Giravanz Kitakyushu 10 2 4 4 12:18 10
16 Thespakusatsu Gunma 10 3 0 7 10:19 9
17 Matsumoto Yamaga 9 1 5 3 8:11 8
18 Fukushima United 10 2 2 6 20:25 8
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
20 Kochi United 10 1 2 7 4:23 5
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)