Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Nagano U Stadium

Match Events

10'

Kondo T.

Assist: Shin K.

17'

Bakayoko A.

(Penalty)

34'

Fujikawa K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nagano Parceiro host Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo in the J2/J3 League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Nagano Parceiro have averaged 1 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo's 2.25 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo slightly — 1-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 6, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 1.75) point toward Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo. Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Nagano Parceiro

20%

Draws

38%

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nagano Parceiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Nagano Parceiro.
Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Nagano Parceiro.
League standings and seasonal metrics in J2/J3 League provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 12%

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nagano Parceiro	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	15
Draws	0	1
Losses	20	14
Goals Scored	1	2.25
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 J2/J3 League

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Nagano Parceiro

Possession: 40% - 48% Cards: 1 - 0

2:0

Feb 21, 2026 J2/J3 League

Nagano Parceiro vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

May 22, 2024 J.League Cup

Nagano Parceiro vs Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Sep 8, 2012 Emperors Cup

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo vs Nagano Parceiro

Possession: 44% - 48% Cards: 3 - 4

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nagano Parceiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Kondo T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nagano Parceiro 40 / 100

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nagano Parceiro Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nagano Parceiro scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Nagano Parceiro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nagano Parceiro VS Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo

1 Goals Scored 2.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

50% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15