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Nagano Parceiro vs Iwaki

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Nojima K.
29' Event
Kumata N.
31' Event
Kato T.

AI Match Summary

Iwaki in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iwaki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Nagano Parceiro
15%
Draws
28%
Iwaki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nagano Parceiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Iwaki have won more games recently than Nagano Parceiro.
  • Nagano Parceiro are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Iwaki have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 13%
Iwaki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nagano Parceiro Iwaki
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 0 1
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.96 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Nagano Parceiro vs Iwaki
1:3
Apr 19, 2026 J2/J3 League
Iwaki vs Nagano Parceiro
1:0
Mar 21, 2026 J2/J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Iwaki
1:3
Sep 3, 2022 J3 League
Iwaki vs Nagano Parceiro
1:0
Apr 10, 2022 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Iwaki
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nagano Parceiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Nojima K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Iwaki Compare

Top Goalscorer Kumata N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kato T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nagano Parceiro 40 / 100
Iwaki 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nagano Parceiro Iwaki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nagano Parceiro's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Iwaki let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Iwaki lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nagano Parceiro VS Iwaki
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nagano Parceiro

(Home)
30 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 2
Thespakusatsu Gunma
26 Aug
FC Tokyo
6 : 0
Nagano Parceiro
22 Aug
Kumamoto
0 : 1
Nagano Parceiro
19 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
2 : 1
Fukui Utd.
16 Aug
FC Osaka
4 : 2
Nagano Parceiro
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Iwaki

(Away)
02 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 0
Iwaki
29 Aug
Iwaki
2 : 3
Albirex Niigata
26 Aug
Iwaki
2 : 0
Oita Trinita
22 Aug
Oita Trinita
4 : 1
Iwaki
15 Aug
Fujieda MYFC
3 : 1
Iwaki
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