Sport Picks
Nagano Parceiro vs Matsumoto Yamaga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Nagano Parceiro host Matsumoto Yamaga in the J3 League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Nagano Parceiro have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.72 conceded recently, against Matsumoto Yamaga's 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Head-to-head, Nagano Parceiro have won 2 to Matsumoto Yamaga's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (1.00 - 1.56) back Nagano Parceiro to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Nagano Parceiro come out ahead of Matsumoto Yamaga on wins alone.
- Model gives Nagano Parceiro a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nagano Parceiro | Matsumoto Yamaga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nagano Parceiro found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Matsumoto Yamaga let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Nagano Parceiro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Nagano Parceiro
(Home)Matsumoto Yamaga
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Ehime | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 4 | SC Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 7 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 8 | Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7:4 | 14 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 11 | Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 13 |
| 13 | Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 15 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 16 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:23 | 5 |