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Nagano Parceiro vs Mito

Japan Japan

J.League Cup Nagano U Stadium, Nagano
Wed, Sep 9, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the J.League Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Nagano Parceiro at 0.97 goals for, 1.97 against; Mito at 1.29 for, 1.96 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.69, favoring Nagano Parceiro. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Nagano Parceiro
30%
Draws
37%
Mito
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mito

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nagano Parceiro come out ahead of Mito on wins alone.
  • Mito are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Nagano Parceiro have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 13%
Mito Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nagano Parceiro Mito
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 8
Draws 1 3
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 0.97 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nagano Parceiro 22 / 100
Mito 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nagano Parceiro Mito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mito Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mito let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Nagano Parceiro scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Nagano Parceiro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Mito lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nagano Parceiro VS Mito
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nagano Parceiro

(Home)
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1
Nagano Parceiro
30 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 2
Thespakusatsu Gunma
26 Aug
FC Tokyo
6 : 0
Nagano Parceiro
22 Aug
Kumamoto
0 : 1
Nagano Parceiro
19 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
2 : 1
Fukui Utd.
Page 1 of 6

Mito

(Away)
05 Sept
Avispa Fukuoka
1 : 1
Mito
02 Sept
Mito
4 : 2
Kashima Antlers
29 Aug
Mito
1 : 1
Machida Zelvia
26 Aug
Mito
0 : 2
Kyoto Sangyo
22 Aug
Kyoto
1 : 3
Mito
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
Tochigi City -
TBD -
Albirex Niigata -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
Kanazawa -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Urawa Reds -
Toyama -
Yokohama FC -
Gifu -
Okayama -
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
Nagoya Grampus -
Giravanz Kitakyushu -
Kawasaki Frontale -
Kumamoto -
TBD -
Iwata -
Avispa Fukuoka -
FC Osaka -
TBD -
Sagan Tosu -
Cerezo Osaka -
Fujieda MYFC -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori -
FC Tokyo -
Ehime -
TBD -
TBD -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Machida Zelvia -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
Gamba Osaka -
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga -
Shonan Bellmare -
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC -
Montedio Yamagata -
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki -
Chiba -
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga -
Verdy -
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United -
V-Varen Nagasaki -
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro -
Mito -
Fukushima United -
Vegalta Sendai -
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -