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Nagano Parceiro vs Mito - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J.League Cup Nagano U Stadium, Nagano
Wed, Sep 9, 2026
0 - 1
10:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Kato C.
35'
Patryck
46'
Sub
Patryck In: Nemoto R.
Out: Patryck

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Nagano Parceiro
15%
Draws
0%
Mito
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nagano Parceiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nagano Parceiro come out ahead of Mito on wins alone.
  • Nagano Parceiro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Nagano Parceiro have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mito, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 17%
Mito Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nagano Parceiro Mito
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 2 3
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.21 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 J.League Cup
Nagano Parceiro vs Mito
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nagano Parceiro 84 / 100
Mito 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nagano Parceiro Mito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nagano Parceiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mito let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Mito lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Nagano Parceiro found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Nagano Parceiro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nagano Parceiro VS Mito
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nagano Parceiro

(Home)
03 Nov
Kanazawa
0 : 2
Nagano Parceiro
31 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
3 : 1
Reilac Shiga
25 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
3 : 1
Nagano Parceiro
21 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1
Ryukyu
18 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
2 : 1
Matsumoto Yamaga
Page 1 of 6

Mito

(Away)
31 Oct
Mito
0 : 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
28 Oct
Mito
1 : 3
Cerezo Osaka
25 Oct
FC Tokyo
6 : 0
Mito
21 Oct
Okayama
2 : 0
Mito
17 Oct
Mito
0 : 1
Urawa Reds
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Tochigi City 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kanazawa 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 3
Toyama 2
Yokohama FC 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Kumamoto 0
Chiba 2
Iwata 4
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Osaka 1
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 2
Ehime 0
Mito 7
Fukushima United 0
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1
Matsumoto Yamaga 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Urawa Reds 4
Yokohama FC 0
Okayama 3
Nagoya Grampus 4
Kawasaki Frontale 4
Iwata 0
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 0
Mito 1
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3
Yokohama F. Marinos 4
Urawa Reds 2
Nagoya Grampus 1
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Sagan Tosu 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Mito 1
Machida Zelvia 1
Kyoto 0
Kashiwa Reysol 5
Gamba Osaka 4
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -