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Nagano Parceiro vs Reilac Shiga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J3 League Nagano U Stadium, Nagano
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Match Events

33' Event
Shoji H.
46'
Sub
Yamaguchi R. In: Hojo S.
Out: Yamaguchi R.
50' Event
Tatsuta S.

AI Match Summary

Nagano Parceiro in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nagano Parceiro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Nagano Parceiro
15%
Draws
21%
Reilac Shiga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nagano Parceiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nagano Parceiro lately — more wins on the board than Reilac Shiga.
  • Nagano Parceiro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 19%
Reilac Shiga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nagano Parceiro Reilac Shiga
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 2 2
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.21 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Reilac Shiga
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nagano Parceiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Shoji H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tanaka K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Reilac Shiga Compare

Top Goalscorer Tatsuta S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nagano Parceiro 85 / 100
Reilac Shiga 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nagano Parceiro Reilac Shiga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nagano Parceiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Nagano Parceiro's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Reilac Shiga conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Nagano Parceiro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nagano Parceiro VS Reilac Shiga
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nagano Parceiro

(Home)
03 Nov
Kanazawa
0 : 2
Nagano Parceiro
31 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
3 : 1
Reilac Shiga
25 Oct
Giravanz Kitakyushu
3 : 1
Nagano Parceiro
21 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1
Ryukyu
18 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
2 : 1
Matsumoto Yamaga
Page 1 of 6

Reilac Shiga

(Away)
03 Nov
Giravanz Kitakyushu
0 : 1
Reilac Shiga
31 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
3 : 1
Reilac Shiga
25 Oct
Reilac Shiga
1 : 5
Kanazawa
21 Oct
Tochigi SC
1 : 0
Reilac Shiga
18 Oct
Reilac Shiga
0 : 2
SC Sagamihara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kagoshima United 15 9 4 2 29:18 31
2 Nara Club 15 9 2 4 28:21 29
3 Gifu 15 9 1 5 28:15 28
4 SC Sagamihara 15 8 4 3 25:15 28
5 Renofa Yamaguchi 15 8 3 4 20:12 27
6 FC Osaka 15 7 5 3 25:15 26
7 Ehime 15 8 2 5 30:25 26
8 Kumamoto 15 6 6 3 17:10 24
9 Ryukyu 15 7 2 6 23:20 23
10 Nagano Parceiro 15 7 2 6 22:20 23
11 Kanazawa 15 6 2 7 27:21 20
12 Giravanz Kitakyushu 15 5 4 6 21:23 19
13 Tochigi SC 15 4 6 5 14:16 18
14 Matsumoto Yamaga 15 4 5 6 15:17 17
15 Reilac Shiga 15 5 2 8 19:27 17
16 Fukushima United 15 4 3 8 27:32 15
17 Gainare Tottori 15 4 3 8 15:29 15
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 15 4 1 10 12:29 13
19 Kamatamare Sanuki 15 3 2 10 16:27 11
20 Kochi United 15 2 3 10 10:31 9
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