Sport Picks
Nagano Parceiro vs Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan
J3 League Nagano U Stadium, Nagano 
Match Events
24'
24'
Fujikawa K.
59'
59'
Sub
Yamamoto S. In: Nomura N.
Out: Yamamoto S.
64'
64'
Sub
Nojima K. In: Higuchi K.
Out: Nojima K.
AI Match Summary
The J3 League game between Nagano Parceiro and Renofa Yamaguchi finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nagano Parceiro.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nagano Parceiro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Nagano Parceiro haven't matched Renofa Yamaguchi's recent run of results.
- Model gives Renofa Yamaguchi a 34% chance of winning this.
- Regular J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Nagano Parceiro have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 23%
Renofa Yamaguchi Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nagano Parceiro | Renofa Yamaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 19 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Renofa Yamaguchi
1:0
Oct 25, 2015 J3 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Nagano Parceiro
1:2
Jul 12, 2015 J3 League
Renofa Yamaguchi vs Nagano Parceiro
3:2
Apr 26, 2015 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Renofa Yamaguchi
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nagano Parceiro Compare
Top Goalscorer Fujikawa K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Renofa Yamaguchi Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nagano Parceiro 29 / 100
Renofa Yamaguchi 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nagano Parceiro Renofa Yamaguchi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Renofa Yamaguchi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Renofa Yamaguchi let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.
Nagano Parceiro scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Renofa Yamaguchi's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Nagano Parceiro VS Renofa Yamaguchi
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nagano Parceiro
(Home) 30 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 2 Thespakusatsu Gunma
26 Aug
FC Tokyo
6 : 0 Nagano Parceiro
22 Aug
Kumamoto
0 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
19 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
2 : 1 Fukui Utd.
16 Aug
FC Osaka
4 : 2 Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 2 Thespakusatsu Gunma
19 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
2 : 1 Fukui Utd.
08 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0 Renofa Yamaguchi
12 Jul
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 3 Iwaki
23 May
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0 Kofu
Page 1 of 3
Renofa Yamaguchi
(Away) 30 Aug
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 : 0 FC Osaka
22 Aug
Nara Club
3 : 1 Renofa Yamaguchi
19 Aug
Kagoshima United
2 : 1 Renofa Yamaguchi
15 Aug
Renofa Yamaguchi
1 : 0 Ryukyu
08 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0 Renofa Yamaguchi
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Nara Club
3 : 1 Renofa Yamaguchi
19 Aug
Kagoshima United
2 : 1 Renofa Yamaguchi
08 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0 Renofa Yamaguchi
06 Jun
Yokohama FC
2 : 1 Renofa Yamaguchi
30 May
Kochi United
2 : 3 Renofa Yamaguchi
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gifu | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 10 |
| 2 | Ehime | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Kagoshima United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 4 | SC Sagamihara | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 5 | Gainare Tottori | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 6 | FC Osaka | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 7 | Nagano Parceiro | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 8 | Reilac Shiga | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 9 | Kumamoto | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 10 | Tochigi SC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:8 | 5 |
| 11 | Ryukyu | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 12 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 13 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 4 |
| 14 | Nara Club | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Kochi United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:10 | 4 |
| 16 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 18 | Kanazawa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:9 | 3 |
| 19 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 20 | Fukushima United | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | 1 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
