Sport Picks
Nagano Parceiro vs Thespakusatsu Gunma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J3 League Nagano U Stadium, Nagano 
Match Events
22'
22'
Shimokawa T.
26'
26'
Fujikawa K.
Assist: Watanabe Z.
39'
39'
Ono Y.
AI Match Summary
Thespakusatsu Gunma in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thespakusatsu Gunma.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nagano Parceiro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nagano Parceiro lately — more wins on the board than Thespakusatsu Gunma.
- Win probability leans Nagano Parceiro's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 17%
Thespakusatsu Gunma Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nagano Parceiro | Thespakusatsu Gunma |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 15 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.72 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:2
Jul 12, 2025 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Nagano Parceiro
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
3:2
Aug 31, 2019 J3 League
Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Nagano Parceiro
3:2
Jun 16, 2019 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nagano Parceiro Compare
Top Goalscorer Fujikawa K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Thespakusatsu Gunma Compare
Top Goalscorer Shimokawa T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hyakuda M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nagano Parceiro 57 / 100
Thespakusatsu Gunma 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nagano Parceiro Thespakusatsu Gunma
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nagano Parceiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Thespakusatsu Gunma has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.
Nagano Parceiro's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Nagano Parceiro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nagano Parceiro VS Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Nagano Parceiro
(Home) 10 Oct
Kochi United
1 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
03 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Nara Club
26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0 Gifu
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1 Tochigi SC
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Nara Club
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0 Gifu
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1 Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Mito
30 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 2 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma
(Away) 10 Oct
Thespakusatsu Gunma
2 : 1 Ryukyu
03 Oct
Ehime
3 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
26 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
0 : 1 Kumamoto
19 Sept
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1 : 0 Kochi United
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Ehime
3 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
12 Sept
Renofa Yamaguchi
2 : 0 Thespakusatsu Gunma
30 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 2 Thespakusatsu Gunma
26 Aug
Verdy
4 : 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma
19 Aug
Tohoku Gakuin University
1 : 3 Thespakusatsu Gunma
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Ehime | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22:10 | 20 |
| 3 | Nara Club | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 | 20 |
| 4 | SC Sagamihara | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 18 |
| 5 | FC Osaka | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 18:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 7 | Kanazawa | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 8 | Kumamoto | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 7:4 | 14 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 14 |
| 10 | Nagano Parceiro | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 11 | Gifu | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | 13 |
| 13 | Ryukyu | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 15 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:18 | 10 |
| 16 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 18 | Fukushima United | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 20:25 | 8 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4:23 | 5 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
