Sport Picks
Nagano Parceiro vs Tochigi SC
Japan
J3 League Nagano U Stadium, Nagano 
Match Events
45'
45'
Nojima K.
Assist: Fujikawa K.
57'
57'
Sub
Nakano K. In: Igarashi T.
Out: Nakano K.
57'
57'
Sub
Osone K. In: Yagi K.
Out: Osone K.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nagano Parceiro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Nagano Parceiro have won more games recently than Tochigi SC.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Nagano Parceiro Clean Sheet 14%
Tochigi SC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nagano Parceiro | Tochigi SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Tochigi SC
1:1
May 31, 2026 J2/J3 League
Tochigi SC vs Nagano Parceiro
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 J3 League
Nagano Parceiro vs Tochigi SC
0:4
May 6, 2025 J3 League
Tochigi SC vs Nagano Parceiro
1:0
Nov 26, 2017 J3 League
Tochigi SC vs Nagano Parceiro
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nagano Parceiro Compare
Top Goalscorer Nojima K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Tochigi SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Kondo Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nagano Parceiro 31 / 100
Tochigi SC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nagano Parceiro Tochigi SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tochigi SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nagano Parceiro scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Tochigi SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Nagano Parceiro remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Nagano Parceiro VS Tochigi SC
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Nagano Parceiro
(Home) 26 Sept
Fukushima United
4 : 3 Nagano Parceiro
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0 Gifu
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1 Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Mito
05 Sept
SC Sagamihara
1 : 1 Nagano Parceiro
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 0 Gifu
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1 Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
0 : 1 Mito
30 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 2 Thespakusatsu Gunma
19 Aug
Nagano Parceiro
2 : 1 Fukui Utd.
Page 1 of 3
Tochigi SC
(Away) 26 Sept
Tochigi SC
1 : 2 Matsumoto Yamaga
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Tochigi SC
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1 Tochigi SC
09 Sept
Tochigi SC
0 : 1 Montedio Yamagata
05 Sept
Tochigi SC
2 : 0 Kochi United
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Tochigi SC
13 Sept
Nagano Parceiro
1 : 1 Tochigi SC
29 Aug
Gifu
4 : 1 Tochigi SC
26 Aug
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1 Tochigi SC
15 Aug
Kumamoto
0 : 0 Tochigi SC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Ehime | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 17 |
| 3 | FC Osaka | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 5 | Nara Club | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 18:16 | 14 |
| 6 | Gifu | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Kumamoto | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 8 | SC Sagamihara | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Reilac Shiga | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 10 | Ryukyu | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 11 | Nagano Parceiro | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Kanazawa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 15 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:10 | 8 |
| 16 | Fukushima United | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 16:20 | 7 |
| 17 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:15 | 6 |
| 19 | Kochi United | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:18 | 5 |
| 20 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:17 | 4 |
Promotion - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - J3 League (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - J3 League (Relegation)
