Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NagaWorld vs Moi Kompong Dewa

Cambodia Cambodia

CPL Kampong Speu Stadium, Kampong Speu
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NagaWorld host Moi Kompong Dewa in the CPL. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: NagaWorld at 1.5 goals for, 1.47 against; Moi Kompong Dewa at 1.23 for, 1.27 against. Head-to-head, NagaWorld have won 3 to Moi Kompong Dewa's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.88) point toward NagaWorld. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
NagaWorld
20%
Draws
29%
Moi Kompong Dewa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: NagaWorld

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • NagaWorld have won more games recently than Moi Kompong Dewa.
  • Moi Kompong Dewa are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular CPL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
NagaWorld Clean Sheet 10%
Moi Kompong Dewa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NagaWorld Moi Kompong Dewa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 CPL
NagaWorld vs Moi Kompong Dewa
1:3
Mar 15, 2026 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs NagaWorld
0:2
Jan 3, 2026 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs NagaWorld
0:3
Sep 13, 2025 CPL
NagaWorld vs Moi Kompong Dewa
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 CPL
Moi Kompong Dewa vs NagaWorld
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NagaWorld 22 / 100
Moi Kompong Dewa 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NagaWorld Moi Kompong Dewa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moi Kompong Dewa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: NagaWorld scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Moi Kompong Dewa let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

NagaWorld went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

NagaWorld VS Moi Kompong Dewa
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

NagaWorld

(Home)
19 Sept
Tiffy Army
4 : 5
NagaWorld
13 Sept
NagaWorld
1 : 0
Life FC
05 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 2
NagaWorld
17 May
Angkor Tiger
4 : 1
NagaWorld
10 May
Phnom Penh Crown
3 : 0
NagaWorld
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Moi Kompong Dewa

(Away)
20 Sept
Moi Kompong Dewa
2 : 0
Life FC
13 Sept
Moi Kompong Dewa
0 : 2
Visakha
05 Sept
Angkor Tiger
0 : 0
Moi Kompong Dewa
17 May
Boeung Ket
4 : 3
Moi Kompong Dewa
10 May
Moi Kompong Dewa
1 : 2
Angkor Tiger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Visakha 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Svay Rieng 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
3 NagaWorld 3 2 1 0 8:6 7
4 Dangkor Senchey 3 1 2 0 10:4 5
5 Moi Kompong Dewa 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
6 Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 3 1 0 2 2:10 3
7 Phnom Penh Crown 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
8 Angkor Tiger 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
9 Boeung Ket 2 0 1 1 4:5 1
10 Life FC 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
11 Tiffy Army 3 0 0 3 5:15 0
Promotion - CPL (Championship Group)
Relegation - CPL (Relegation Group)