Sport Picks

Stadium Background

NagaWorld vs Phnom Penh Crown

Cambodia Cambodia

CPL Kampong Speu Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

NagaWorld play Phnom Penh Crown in the CPL. It looks like a close match. Recently, NagaWorld averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Phnom Penh Crown averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, NagaWorld won 1, Phnom Penh Crown won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for NagaWorld and 1.38 for Phnom Penh Crown. This points to a Phnom Penh Crown double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
NagaWorld
15%
Draws
46%
Phnom Penh Crown
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Phnom Penh Crown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • NagaWorld picked up more points recently compared to Phnom Penh Crown.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
NagaWorld Clean Sheet 17%
Phnom Penh Crown Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric NagaWorld Phnom Penh Crown
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 CPL
Phnom Penh Crown vs NagaWorld
3:0
Mar 22, 2026 CPL
NagaWorld vs Phnom Penh Crown
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 CPL
Phnom Penh Crown vs NagaWorld
2:1
Nov 19, 2025 CPL
NagaWorld vs Phnom Penh Crown
0:1
May 4, 2025 CPL
NagaWorld vs Phnom Penh Crown
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

NagaWorld Compare

Top Goalscorer China
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Phnom Penh Crown Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

NagaWorld 39 / 100
Phnom Penh Crown 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
NagaWorld Phnom Penh Crown

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Phnom Penh Crown or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

NagaWorld attacking → ← attacking Phnom Penh Crown

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NagaWorld scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Phnom Penh Crown let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

NagaWorld went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Phnom Penh Crown lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 47
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Svay Rieng30204682:3664
2Phnom Penh Crown30175853:3656
3Angkor Tiger30175871:4156
4Boeung Ket30158744:2953
5NagaWorld301271142:3943
6Moi Kompong Dewa301181143:4541