Sport Picks
Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J1 League Toyota Stadium, Toyota City 
AI Match Summary
Nagoya Grampus host Kyoto in the J1 League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Nagoya Grampus have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against Kyoto's 1.14 scored and 1.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Kyoto slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.31, favoring Nagoya Grampus. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Kyoto haven't matched Nagoya Grampus's recent run of results.
- Model gives Kyoto a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nagoya Grampus | Kyoto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nagoya Grampus found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Kyoto has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Nagoya Grampus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Nagoya Grampus
(Home)Kyoto
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 31:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 32:10 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida Zelvia | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 30:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29:19 | 28 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:12 | 26 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 29:22 | 23 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 27:22 | 22 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20:14 | 21 |
| 9 | Urawa Reds | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 21:27 | 21 |
| 10 | Okayama | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15:21 | 16 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10:22 | 14 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | 13 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:21 | 12 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 14:21 | 12 |
| 17 | Verdy | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:22 | 11 |
| 18 | Chiba | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15:24 | 10 |
| 19 | Mito | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | 9 |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13:24 | 7 |
