Sport Picks
Nagoya Grampus vs Okayama
Japan
J1 League Toyota Stadium, Toyota City 
Match Events
38'
38'
Suzuki Y.
Assist: Meireles L. M.
43'
43'
Inagaki S.
(Penalty)
60'
60'
Na Sang-Ho
AI Match Summary
Nagoya Grampus in this J1 League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nagoya Grampus.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Okayama
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Okayama lately — more wins on the board than Nagoya Grampus.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Nagoya Grampus Clean Sheet 12%
Okayama Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nagoya Grampus | Okayama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 18 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs Okayama
2:1
Apr 29, 2026 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs Okayama
1:2
Mar 1, 2026 J1 League
Okayama vs Nagoya Grampus
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 J1 League
Okayama vs Nagoya Grampus
0:1
May 6, 2025 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs Okayama
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nagoya Grampus Compare
Top Goalscorer Nakayama K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Okayama Compare
Top Goalscorer Suzuki Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nagoya Grampus 35 / 100
Okayama 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nagoya Grampus Okayama
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Okayama Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nagoya Grampus scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Okayama's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Nagoya Grampus went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Nagoya Grampus VS Okayama
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nagoya Grampus
(Home) 19 Sept
FC Tokyo
1 : 0 Nagoya Grampus
12 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
2 : 0 Nagoya Grampus
06 Sept
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 3 Machida Zelvia
02 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0 Nagoya Grampus
29 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 1 Okayama
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 3 Machida Zelvia
29 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 1 Okayama
26 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 3 Gainare Tottori
22 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
3 : 1 Gamba Osaka
08 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
0 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
Page 1 of 3
Okayama
(Away) 19 Sept
Okayama
1 : 2 Kyoto
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2 Okayama
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
02 Sept
Chiba
1 : 2 Okayama
29 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 1 Okayama
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2 Okayama
02 Sept
Chiba
1 : 2 Okayama
29 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 1 Okayama
08 Aug
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 1 Okayama
25 Jul
Schalke
3 : 1 Okayama
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
