Sport Picks
Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse Prediction & H2H Stats
Japan
J1 League Toyota Stadium, Toyota City 
Match Events
38'
38'
Kitagawa K.
Assist: Fujii T.
61'
61'
Sub
Izumi R. In: Koda H.
Out: Izumi R.
61'
61'
Oh Se-Hun
AI Match Summary
The J1 League game between Nagoya Grampus and Shimizu S-Pulse finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shimizu S-Pulse.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shimizu S-Pulse
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Shimizu S-Pulse carry the better recent record into this one.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Shimizu S-Pulse taking it.
- Regular J1 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Nagoya Grampus Clean Sheet 20%
Shimizu S-Pulse Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nagoya Grampus | Shimizu S-Pulse |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 18 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus
0:2
Feb 8, 2026 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse
1:0
Jun 21, 2025 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse
1:1
May 3, 2025 J1 League
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Nagoya Grampus
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nagoya Grampus Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Shimizu S-Pulse Compare
Top Goalscorer Kitagawa K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nagoya Grampus 20 / 100
Shimizu S-Pulse 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nagoya Grampus Shimizu S-Pulse
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Shimizu S-Pulse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Nagoya Grampus scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Shimizu S-Pulse has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Nagoya Grampus has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nagoya Grampus VS Shimizu S-Pulse
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Nagoya Grampus
(Home) 29 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 3 Nagoya Grampus
19 Sept
FC Tokyo
1 : 0 Nagoya Grampus
12 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
2 : 0 Nagoya Grampus
06 Sept
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 3 Machida Zelvia
02 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
3 : 0 Nagoya Grampus
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 3 Machida Zelvia
29 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 1 Okayama
26 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 3 Gainare Tottori
22 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
3 : 1 Gamba Osaka
08 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
0 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
Page 1 of 3
Shimizu S-Pulse
(Away) 29 Sept
Kanazawa
0 : 2 Shimizu S-Pulse
19 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
2 : 1 Chiba
12 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 0 Avispa Fukuoka
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
02 Sept
Shimizu S-Pulse
1 : 1 FC Tokyo
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Kanazawa
0 : 2 Shimizu S-Pulse
06 Sept
Kawasaki Frontale
3 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
22 Aug
Cerezo Osaka
1 : 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
08 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
0 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
18 Jul
Karlsruher
1 : 1 Shimizu S-Pulse
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
