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Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa Reds - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J.League Cup Toyota Stadium, Toyota City
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
1 - 2
10:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Hayakawa J.
46'
Sub
Morishima T. In: Uchida T.
Out: Morishima T.
46'
Sub
Sugiura S. In: Yamagishi Y.
Out: Sugiura S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Nagoya Grampus
20%
Draws
56%
Urawa Reds
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Urawa Reds

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Urawa Reds lately — more wins on the board than Nagoya Grampus.
  • Win probability leans Nagoya Grampus's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Urawa Reds arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Urawa Reds, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Nagoya Grampus Clean Sheet 11%
Urawa Reds Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nagoya Grampus Urawa Reds
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 3 2
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2026 J.League Cup
Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa Reds
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 J1 League
Urawa Reds vs Nagoya Grampus
2:1
May 24, 2025 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa Reds
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Urawa Reds vs Nagoya Grampus
5:6
Jun 26, 2024 J1 League
Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa Reds
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nagoya Grampus Compare

Top Goalscorer Yamagishi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Urawa Reds Compare

Top Goalscorer Hayakawa J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Minamino H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nagoya Grampus 35 / 100
Urawa Reds 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nagoya Grampus Urawa Reds

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nagoya Grampus found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Urawa Reds has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Nagoya Grampus stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nagoya Grampus VS Urawa Reds
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nagoya Grampus

(Home)
31 Oct
Vissel Kobe
3 : 1
Nagoya Grampus
28 Oct
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 2
Urawa Reds
25 Oct
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 1
Yokohama F. Marinos
21 Oct
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
17 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
1 : 3
Nagoya Grampus
Page 1 of 6

Urawa Reds

(Away)
31 Oct
Kashiwa Reysol
4 : 0
Urawa Reds
28 Oct
Nagoya Grampus
1 : 2
Urawa Reds
25 Oct
Urawa Reds
1 : 0
V-Varen Nagasaki
21 Oct
Urawa Reds
3 : 2
Chiba
17 Oct
Mito
0 : 1
Urawa Reds
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Tochigi City 0
Matsumoto Yamaga 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
Kanazawa 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds 3
Toyama 2
Yokohama FC 2
Gifu 1
Okayama 2
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus 3
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Kawasaki Frontale 1
Kumamoto 0
Chiba 2
Iwata 4
Avispa Fukuoka 2
FC Osaka 1
Verdy 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Fujieda MYFC 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 0
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 2
Ehime 0
Mito 7
Fukushima United 0
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/16-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1
Matsumoto Yamaga 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Urawa Reds 4
Yokohama FC 0
Okayama 3
Nagoya Grampus 4
Kawasaki Frontale 4
Iwata 0
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gainare Tottori 2
FC Tokyo 0
Mito 1
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -
1/8-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3
Yokohama F. Marinos 4
Urawa Reds 2
Nagoya Grampus 1
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Sagan Tosu 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Mito 1
Machida Zelvia 1
Kyoto 0
Kashiwa Reysol 5
Gamba Osaka 4
1/64-finals
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Vanraure 0
Tochigi City 2
Matsumoto Yamaga 4
Shonan Bellmare 3
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Albirex Niigata 2
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Kanazawa 2
Imabari 1
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 0
Montedio Yamagata 1
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Toyama 2
Ryukyu 2
Yokohama FC 3
Gifu 1
Tokushima 0
Okayama -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Iwaki 0
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Kumamoto 2
Oita Trinita 0
Kamatamare Sanuki 0
Chiba 2
SC Sagamihara 0
Iwata 3
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
FC Osaka 3
Kofu 0
Reilac Shiga 0
Verdy 1
Nara Club 1
Sagan Tosu 2
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Renofa Yamaguchi 0
Fujieda MYFC 2
Kochi United 0
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Omiya Ardija 1
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Ehime 1
Blaublitz 0
Nagano Parceiro 0
Mito 1
Fukushima United 4
Vegalta Sendai 3
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kyoto -
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gamba Osaka -