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Nagybajom vs Kaposvar

Hungary Hungary

Hungarian Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Kaposvar advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Nagybajom
15%
Draws
71%
Kaposvar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaposvar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kaposvar come out ahead of Nagybajom on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kaposvar a 71% chance of winning this.
  • Kaposvar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Kaposvar, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Nagybajom Clean Sheet 15%
Kaposvar Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nagybajom Kaposvar
Matches Played 10 30
Wins 2 21
Draws 0 4
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.3 2.37
Goals Conceded 3.1 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Hungarian Cup
Nagybajom vs Kaposvar
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nagybajom 10 / 100
Kaposvar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nagybajom Kaposvar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaposvar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nagybajom's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Kaposvar let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Nagybajom went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kaposvar
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nagybajom

(Home)
02 Aug
Nagybajom
0 : 4
Kaposvar
03 Aug
Nagybajom
2 : 3
Mohacsi
17 Feb
Mohacsi
2 : 1
Nagybajom
26 Aug
Csepel UFC
5 : 1
Nagybajom
05 Aug
Nagybajom
2 : 1
Siklos
Page 1 of 2

Kaposvar

(Away)
29 Aug
Dunaharaszti MTK
2 : 4
Kaposvar
26 Aug
Kaposvar
3 : 1
Paks II
21 Aug
Kaposvar
1 : 0
PTE-PEAC
12 Aug
Szekszardi
0 : 3
Kaposvar
08 Aug
Kaposvar
7 : 0
Budaorsi SC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Hodoscsepanyi SE 1
Gyulahaza 0
Salgotarjani BTC 3
Marshall-Andornaktalya SE 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
Karancslapujto 0
Senyo 3
Tarpa 3
Tiszaujvaros 1
Villanyi 1
Kelen 2
Bonyhad 0
Dunaujvaros 8
TFSE-Tent Budapest 0
Ivancsa 3
Penzugyor SE 2
Szekszardi 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kazincbarcika -
Sarisapi Banyasz 5
Teskand 0
Szarvaskend 2
Zalaszentgroti 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
REAC 3
FC Dabas 2
Janoshalmi 0
Tiszafoldvar 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Karcagi -
Kiraly SE 1
Mosonmagyarovari TE 4
Gyirmot FC Gyor 4
Sopron 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Csakvari -
Nagybajom 0
Kaposvar 4
Szepetnek 0
Erdi 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gyor -
Tatai 2
Koppanymonostori SE 3
Sarvari FC 5
Zalalovoi 3
Dunakeszi 0
Pilisi 2
Issimo 4
Kiskunfelegyhaza TSI 0
Mohacsi 2
Toponar 0
Komloi 1
Majosi 3
Paszto SK-Real-Immo Sport 1
Godollo 4
MVSC 1
Ozd-Sajovolgye 4
Videoton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Moragyi SE 2
Airnergy FC 1
Fonix Gold 1
Siofok 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Szegedi 0
Gyulai Termal 4
Csepel 2
Monori 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
Kecskemeti TE -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
Jaszfenyszarui 0
Hatvan FC 5
Hajduszoboszloi 1
Tiszafuredi 5
Nyirmeggyes SK 3
CSO-Ki Sport 5
Unicum FC Mohora 1
Putnok VSE 4
Devecser 1
Bicskei 10
Csesztreg 0
VSC Veszprem 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Debrecen -
Bony 1
Ujperint SE 0
Mori SE 4
Urkut 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Honved -
Dombovari LK 0
Budaorsi SC 2
Bajai 0
Nagykanizsa FC 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kozarmisleny SE -
Szolnoki MAV 3
Jamina SE 1
OMTK-ULE 3
Dunaharaszti MTK 7
Bordany SK 2
Makoi 1
Rackeve 0
ESMTK Budapest 7
Martely SK 0
Epitok 1
Mezoturi 0
Martfui LSE 3
Harkany SE 1
Sarbogard 3
Dunafoldvar 1
Dombovari 8
Mezomegyer 2
Szajol 4
Solti FC 1
Rakoczifalva 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paks -
Mezoberenyi LE 0
Sandorfalvi 3
Sarreti 1
Hodmezovasarhely 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
DVTK -
Soproni FAC 0
Intretech Kapuvari SE 4
Menfocsanak 1
Dorogi FC 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Mezokeresztes 0
Mateszalkai MTK 4
Tallya 1
Vasarosnameny SE 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Sajobabony Vegyesz 1
Csenger 0
Gyongyosi 0
Eger 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Budafoki MTE -
Vasas -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Koronco 0
Mezoors 1
Tihanyi 1
Haladas VSE 6
Balatonalmadi 5
Kormendi 0
Komaromi VSE 6
Papai Perutz 4
Nagyatadi 3
Balatonlelle 2
GA Gyogyfurdo 1
Pecsi MFC 10
Patak FC 0
Debreceni EAC 14
Hajdusamsoni 0
Cigand SE 2
Hevesi 2
Ujfeherto 4
Monostorpalyi 1
Fuzesabony 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Mezofalva 0
Lajoskomarom 2
Unione 2
PTE-PEAC 4
Vecsesi 1
III. Keruleti TVE 2
Kiskorosi 0
BKV Elore 3
Nyergesujfalu 2
Celldomolki Vse 0
Balatonfuredi 2
Tatabanya 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Soroksar -
1/64-finals
Ajka -
TBD -
TBD -
Kisvarda FC -
Hodoscsepanyi SE 0
Salgotarjani BTC 3
TBD -
Tiszakecske -
Senyo 0
Tarpa 4
Kelen 1
Dunaujvaros 0
Ivancsa 2
Penzugyor SE 1
TBD -
Kazincbarcika -
Sarisapi Banyasz 1
Szarvaskend 2
TBD -
Ferencvaros -
Bekescsaba 1912 -
TBD -
TBD -
Nyiregyhaza -
REAC 1
Tiszafoldvar 0
TBD -
Karcagi -
Mosonmagyarovari TE 0
Gyirmot FC Gyor 1
TBD -
Csakvari -
Kaposvar 2
Erdi 3
TBD -
Gyor -
Koppanymonostori SE 1
Sarvari FC 2
Pilisi 5
Issimo 1
Mohacsi 2
Majosi 4
Godollo 4
Ozd-Sajovolgye 1
Videoton -
TBD -
TBD -
Szentlorinc SE -
Moragyi SE 1
Siofok 8
TBD -
MTK Budapest -
Gyulai Termal 3
Csepel 0
TBD -
Mezokovesd-Zsory -
Kecskemeti TE -
TBD -
TBD -
Ujpest -
Hatvan FC 0
Tiszafuredi 4
CSO-Ki Sport 0
Putnok VSE 3
Bicskei 0
VSC Veszprem 2
TBD -
Debrecen -
Bony 2
Mori SE 4
TBD -
Honved -
Budaorsi SC 1
Nagykanizsa FC 2
TBD -
Kozarmisleny SE -
Szolnoki MAV 2
Dunaharaszti MTK 1
Bordany SK 0
ESMTK Budapest 8
Epitok 1
Martfui LSE 3
Sarbogard 1
Dombovari 6
Szajol 6
Rakoczifalva 1
TBD -
Paks -
Sandorfalvi 1
Hodmezovasarhely 2
TBD -
DVTK -
Intretech Kapuvari SE 0
Dorogi FC 1
TBD -
Szeged-Csanad GA -
Mateszalkai MTK 0
Vasarosnameny SE 1
TBD -
Zalaegerszegi -
Sajobabony Vegyesz 1
Eger 4
TBD -
Budafoki MTE -
Vasas -
TBD -
TBD -
Puskas Academy -
Mezoors 3
Haladas VSE 2
Balatonalmadi 1
Komaromi VSE 2
Nagyatadi 0
Pecsi MFC 4
Debreceni EAC 2
Cigand SE 1
Ujfeherto 1
Fuzesabony 2
TBD -
BVSC-Zuglo -
Lajoskomarom 1
PTE-PEAC 3
III. Keruleti TVE 5
BKV Elore 0
Nyergesujfalu 0
Tatabanya 3
TBD -
Soroksar -
1/32-finals
Ajka 3
Kisvarda FC 1
Salgotarjani BTC 1
Tiszakecske 4
Tarpa 2
Kelen 3
Ivancsa 0
Kazincbarcika 1
Szarvaskend 0
Ferencvaros 15
Bekescsaba 1912 1
Nyiregyhaza 0
REAC 2
Karcagi 4
Gyirmot FC Gyor 0
Csakvari 1
Erdi 0
Gyor 3
Sarvari FC 2
Pilisi 5
Majosi 2
Godollo 0
Videoton 3
Szentlorinc SE 0
Siofok 1
MTK Budapest 7
Gyulai Termal 0
Mezokovesd-Zsory 2
Kecskemeti TE 3
Ujpest 2
Tiszafuredi 3
Putnok VSE 2
VSC Veszprem 0
Debrecen 2
Mori SE 1
Honved 4
Nagykanizsa FC 1
Kozarmisleny SE 2
Szolnoki MAV 0
ESMTK Budapest 3
Martfui LSE 5
Dombovari 4
Szajol 1
Paks 5
Hodmezovasarhely 1
DVTK 3
Dorogi FC 0
Szeged-Csanad GA 2
Vasarosnameny SE 0
Zalaegerszegi 13
Eger 0
Budafoki MTE 2
Vasas 4
Puskas Academy 1
Mezoors 1
Komaromi VSE 0
Pecsi MFC 0
Debreceni EAC 2
Fuzesabony 0
BVSC-Zuglo 4
PTE-PEAC 1
III. Keruleti TVE 3
Tatabanya 0
Soroksar 2
1/16-finals
Ajka 2
Tiszakecske 1
Kelen 0
Kazincbarcika 1
Ferencvaros 4
Bekescsaba 1912 0
Karcagi 2
Csakvari 3
Gyor 9
Pilisi 0
Majosi 0
Videoton 1
MTK Budapest 5
Mezokovesd-Zsory 1
Kecskemeti TE 2
Tiszafuredi 1
Debrecen 1
Honved 2
Kozarmisleny SE 0
ESMTK Budapest 1
Martfui LSE 1
Paks 4
DVTK 2
Szeged-Csanad GA 0
Zalaegerszegi 3
Budafoki MTE 1
Vasas 3
Mezoors 0
Debreceni EAC 1
BVSC-Zuglo 0
III. Keruleti TVE 0
Soroksar 1
1/8-finals
Ajka 0
Kazincbarcika 1
Ferencvaros 4
Csakvari 0
Gyor 2
Videoton 0
MTK Budapest 1
Kecskemeti TE 2
Honved 2
ESMTK Budapest 0
Paks 2
DVTK 6
Zalaegerszegi 2
Vasas 1
Debreceni EAC 0
Soroksar 1
Quarter-finals
Kazincbarcika 0
Ferencvaros 5
Gyor 3
Kecskemeti TE 1
Honved 1
DVTK 0
Zalaegerszegi 1
Soroksar 0
Semi-finals
Ferencvaros 3
Gyor 2
Honved 2
Zalaegerszegi 3
Final
Ferencvaros 1
Zalaegerszegi 0