Sport Picks

Hungary

NB III - Southwest Nagykanizsai Olajbanyasz Stadion

Erdi

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nagykanizsa FC play Erdi in the NB III - Southwest. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nagykanizsa FC averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. Erdi averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Nagykanizsa FC won 4, Erdi won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Nagykanizsa FC and 1.13 for Erdi. This points to a Nagykanizsa FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

Nagykanizsa FC

15%

Draws

37%

Erdi

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nagykanizsa FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Nagykanizsa FC picked up more points recently compared to Erdi.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Nagykanizsa FC Clean Sheet 21%

Erdi Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nagykanizsa FC	Erdi
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	20	17
Draws	7	5
Losses	5	8
Goals Scored	2	1.7
Goals Conceded	1	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	3.13	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 NB III - Southwest

Nagykanizsa FC vs Erdi

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 2 - 4

3:1

Oct 12, 2025 NB III - Southwest

Erdi vs Nagykanizsa FC

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

5:1

Mar 24, 2024 NB III - Southwest

Erdi vs Nagykanizsa FC

Possession: 55% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Sep 3, 2023 NB III - Southwest

Nagykanizsa FC vs Erdi

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 1 - 0

4:0

Apr 12, 2023 NB III - West

Nagykanizsa FC vs Erdi

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nagykanizsa FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Nagy M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lorincz B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.41

Avg xA / game 1.56

Erdi Compare

Top Goalscorer Erdesz A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nagykanizsa FC 47 / 100

Erdi 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nagykanizsa FC Erdi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nagykanizsa FC or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20%

2.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nagykanizsa FC attacking → ← attacking Erdi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nagykanizsa FC scored in 94% of their last 32 games.

Erdi let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Nagykanizsa FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Erdi lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

67 Points in last 5 56

3.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nagykanizsa FC	30	21	6	3	64:27	69
2	Pecsi MFC	30	20	7	3	71:25	67
3	Kaposvar	30	20	3	7	64:32	63
4	Ferencvaros II	30	17	4	9	63:43	55
5	Majosi	30	17	3	10	78:49	54
6	MTK Budapest II	30	16	4	10	62:33	52
7	Erdi	30	15	7	8	47:39	52
8	Dunaujvaros	30	13	10	7	58:42	49
9	Ivancsa	30	11	6	13	49:44	39
10	Siofok	30	11	5	14	40:55	38
11	Paks II	30	10	2	18	42:62	32
12	Szekszardi	30	9	4	17	43:75	31
13	PTE-PEAC	30	6	10	14	39:51	28
14	Balatonlelle	30	6	6	18	24:53	24
15	Penzugyor SE	30	4	8	18	31:61	20
16	Dombovari	30	0	3	27	22:106	3