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Nairn County vs Lossiemouth

Scotland Scotland

Highland League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nairn County play Lossiemouth in the Highland League 2025/2026. Nairn County are favorites here. Recently, Nairn County averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. Lossiemouth averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Nairn County won 5, Lossiemouth won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Nairn County and 1.19 for Lossiemouth. This points to a Nairn County double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Nairn County
15%
Draws
14%
Lossiemouth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nairn County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nairn County picked up more points recently compared to Lossiemouth.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Nairn County Clean Sheet 20%
Lossiemouth Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nairn County Lossiemouth
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.66 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Highland League
Nairn County vs Lossiemouth
1:0
Nov 19, 2025 Highland League
Lossiemouth vs Nairn County
1:3
Feb 1, 2025 Highland League
Nairn County vs Lossiemouth
3:1
Sep 14, 2024 Highland League
Lossiemouth vs Nairn County
0:4
Jan 31, 2024 Highland League
Nairn County vs Lossiemouth
5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nairn County 68 / 100
Lossiemouth 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nairn County Lossiemouth

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nairn County Win (1)
Secondary Pick Nairn County & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.9%
1.59
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nairn County attacking → ← attacking Lossiemouth

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nairn County scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Lossiemouth let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Nairn County went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Lossiemouth lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 14
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brora Rangers34236597:3575
2Brechin34235678:2374
3Formartine Utd342011365:2771
4Fraserburgh34215875:3968
5Clachnacuddin34187978:4061
6Banks O' Dee341610858:3558
7Keith341771052:4758
8Buckie Thistle341651362:4753
9Nairn County341541556:5249
10Turriff United341391260:5048
11Huntly3411101346:4343
12Forres Mechanics341171652:6740
13Strathspey Thistle341321949:8338
14Deveronvale341141946:8737
15Inverurie Loco Works34961947:6630
16Wick Academy34772042:6528
17Lossiemouth34452520:7617
18Rothes34142933:1347