Sport Picks
Nairn County vs Strathspey Thistle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Highland League 
Match Events
38'
38'
MacInnes K.
Assist: Ewan M.
55'
55'
Brindle P.
Assist: Ewan M.
83'
83'
Dingwall F.
Assist: MacKay C.
AI Match Summary
Nairn County in this Highland League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nairn County.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
15%
40%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nairn County
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Strathspey Thistle have won more games recently than Nairn County.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Highland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Nairn County Clean Sheet 10%
Strathspey Thistle Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nairn County | Strathspey Thistle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 14 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2026 Highland League
Nairn County vs Strathspey Thistle
3:2
Mar 21, 2026 Highland League
Nairn County vs Strathspey Thistle
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Highland League
Strathspey Thistle vs Nairn County
3:4
Feb 22, 2025 Highland League
Strathspey Thistle vs Nairn County
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Highland League
Nairn County vs Strathspey Thistle
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nairn County Compare
Top Goalscorer MacInnes K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Brindle P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Strathspey Thistle Compare
Top Goalscorer Race J.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nairn County 30 / 100
Strathspey Thistle 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nairn County Strathspey Thistle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Strathspey Thistle let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
Nairn County found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: Nairn County remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Nairn County VS Strathspey Thistle
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nairn County
(Home) 07 Oct
Nairn County
3 : 2 Strathspey Thistle
03 Oct
Nairn County
0 : 1 Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Buckie Thistle
1 : 3 Nairn County
16 Sept
Nairn County
2 : 0 Wick Academy
12 Sept
Nairn County
2 : 2 Banks O' Dee
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Nairn County
3 : 2 Strathspey Thistle
03 Oct
Nairn County
0 : 1 Gretna 2008
16 Sept
Nairn County
2 : 0 Wick Academy
12 Sept
Nairn County
2 : 2 Banks O' Dee
29 Aug
Nairn County
0 : 0 Deveronvale
Page 1 of 4
Strathspey Thistle
(Away) 07 Oct
Nairn County
3 : 2 Strathspey Thistle
03 Oct
Strathspey Thistle
3 : 2 Dalbeattie Star
25 Sept
Strathspey Thistle
0 : 1 Forres Mechanics
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3 Strathspey Thistle
16 Sept
Strathspey Thistle
7 : 1 Rothes
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Nairn County
3 : 2 Strathspey Thistle
19 Sept
Keith
2 : 3 Strathspey Thistle
12 Sept
Inverurie Loco Works
1 : 1 Strathspey Thistle
05 Sept
Invergordon
0 : 2 Strathspey Thistle
22 Aug
Turriff United
1 : 2 Strathspey Thistle
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brora Rangers | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 53:12 | 35 |
| 2 | Inverurie Loco Works | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | 29 |
| 3 | Formartine Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 4 | Fraserburgh | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 27:11 | 24 |
| 5 | Clachnacuddin | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 28:11 | 20 |
| 6 | Strathspey Thistle | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 26:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Forres Mechanics | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:20 | 20 |
| 8 | Buckie Thistle | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 32:20 | 19 |
| 9 | Banks O' Dee | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 29:27 | 19 |
| 10 | Huntly | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 26:21 | 18 |
| 11 | Nairn County | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 12 | Lossiemouth | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20:28 | 17 |
| 13 | Turriff United | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | 16 |
| 14 | Keith | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19:29 | 15 |
| 15 | Deveronvale | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17:22 | 12 |
| 16 | Invergordon | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 15:36 | 10 |
| 17 | Wick Academy | 13 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 11:38 | 6 |
| 18 | Rothes | 12 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9:55 | 3 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
