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Nairn County vs Turriff United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Highland League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nairn County host Turriff United in the Highland League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Turriff United have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while Nairn County have conceded 1.73 and scored 1.2. Past meetings favor Nairn County slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.50, favoring Turriff United. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Nairn County
15%
Draws
32%
Turriff United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nairn County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Turriff United come out ahead of Nairn County on wins alone.
  • Nairn County are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Nairn County Clean Sheet 16%
Turriff United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nairn County Turriff United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.2 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Highland League
Turriff United vs Nairn County
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 Scottish Cup
Nairn County vs Turriff United
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 Highland League
Nairn County vs Turriff United
3:0
Apr 2, 2025 Highland League
Nairn County vs Turriff United
2:0
Aug 24, 2024 Highland League
Turriff United vs Nairn County
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nairn County 75 / 100
Turriff United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nairn County Turriff United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nairn County Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nairn County scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Turriff United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Nairn County went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nairn County VS Turriff United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Nairn County

(Home)
07 Oct
Nairn County
3 : 2
Strathspey Thistle
03 Oct
Nairn County
0 : 1
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Buckie Thistle
1 : 3
Nairn County
16 Sept
Nairn County
2 : 0
Wick Academy
12 Sept
Nairn County
2 : 2
Banks O' Dee
Page 1 of 6

Turriff United

(Away)
07 Oct
Keith
1 : 0
Turriff United
03 Oct
Tranent FC
3 : 1
Turriff United
26 Sept
Turriff United
4 : 1
Rothes
19 Sept
Invergordon
3 : 1
Turriff United
16 Sept
Turriff United
2 : 1
Huntly
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brora Rangers 13 11 2 0 53:12 35
2 Inverurie Loco Works 14 8 5 1 28:18 29
3 Formartine Utd 13 7 4 2 25:17 25
4 Fraserburgh 12 7 3 2 27:11 24
5 Clachnacuddin 12 5 5 2 28:11 20
6 Strathspey Thistle 14 6 2 6 26:19 20
7 Forres Mechanics 13 6 2 5 23:20 20
8 Buckie Thistle 12 6 1 5 32:20 19
9 Banks O' Dee 13 5 4 4 29:27 19
10 Huntly 13 5 3 5 26:21 18
11 Nairn County 13 4 5 4 19:21 17
12 Lossiemouth 13 5 2 6 20:28 17
13 Turriff United 13 5 1 7 16:18 16
14 Keith 13 4 3 6 19:29 15
15 Deveronvale 13 3 3 7 17:22 12
16 Invergordon 13 3 1 9 15:36 10
17 Wick Academy 13 2 0 11 11:38 6
18 Rothes 12 1 0 11 9:55 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)