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Nairobi United vs KCB - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nairobi United host KCB in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Nairobi United at 1.09 goals for, 1.06 against; KCB at 1.15 for, 1.19 against. Past meetings favor Nairobi United slightly — 2-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.69 - 0.50) back KCB to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Nairobi United
20%
Draws
34%
KCB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nairobi United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Nairobi United haven't matched KCB's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Nairobi United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Nairobi United Clean Sheet 20%
KCB Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nairobi United KCB
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.09 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Nairobi United vs KCB
0:1
Mar 4, 2026 Premier League
Nairobi United vs KCB
1:1
Jan 15, 2026 Premier League
KCB vs Nairobi United
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 FKF Mozzart Bet Cup
Nairobi United vs KCB
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nairobi United 42 / 100
KCB 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nairobi United KCB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nairobi United scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

KCB has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Nairobi United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nairobi United VS KCB
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
13% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nairobi United

(Home)
31 May
Mahia
0 : 1
Nairobi United
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0
Police FC
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2
Posta Rangers
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0
Nairobi United
06 May
Nairobi United
1 : 0
Tusker
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KCB

(Away)
14 Jun
KCB
0 : 2
Bandari
31 May
Shabana
1 : 2
KCB
27 May
Sofapaka
1 : 2
KCB
23 May
KCB
0 : 1
Posta Rangers
16 May
Tusker
1 : 0
KCB
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mathare United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Posta Rangers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Shabana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 APS Bomet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)