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Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Muchiri B.
67' Event
Okoth P.
72' Event
Omalla B.

AI Match Summary

Ulinzi Stars in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ulinzi Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nairobi United
40%
Draws
29%
Ulinzi Stars
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ulinzi Stars lately — more wins on the board than Nairobi United.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Nairobi United Clean Sheet 68%
Ulinzi Stars Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nairobi United Ulinzi Stars
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
Nairobi United vs Ulinzi Stars
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Premier League
Ulinzi Stars vs Nairobi United
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nairobi United Compare

Top Goalscorer Omalla B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ulinzi Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Muchiri B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Okoth P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nairobi United 42 / 100
Ulinzi Stars 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nairobi United Ulinzi Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nairobi United found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Ulinzi Stars let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Nairobi United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nairobi United VS Ulinzi Stars
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nairobi United

(Home)
31 May
Mahia
0 : 1
Nairobi United
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0
Police FC
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2
Posta Rangers
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0
Nairobi United
06 May
Nairobi United
1 : 0
Tusker
Page 1 of 6

Ulinzi Stars

(Away)
31 May
Posta Rangers
0 : 1
Ulinzi Stars
27 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 0
Tusker
23 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 1
Mathare United
13 May
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 2
Leopards
09 May
Shabana
0 : 0
Ulinzi Stars
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mahia34209550:2269
2Leopards34197844:2864
3Police FC341316531:2155
4Nairobi United341411944:3453
5Shabana3414101035:3452
6Kakamega Homeboyz341213947:3749
7KCB341391236:3748
8Muranga341381342:4147
9Tusker341361527:3245
10APS Bomet3411111237:3544
11Mara Sugar3410141030:3044
12Bandari34917826:2644
13Ulinzi Stars341181534:3741
14Mathare United341181531:3541
15Posta Rangers349131231:4040
16Kariobangi Sharks348141230:3338
17Bidco United345121719:4027
18Sofapaka343102119:5119
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)