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Nairobi United vs Wydad Athletic

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup Moi International Sports Centre (Kasarani)
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AI Match Summary

Nairobi United play Wydad Athletic in the CAF Confederation Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Nairobi United averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Wydad Athletic averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. In past meetings, Nairobi United won 0, Wydad Athletic won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 8, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.78 for Nairobi United and 1.10 for Wydad Athletic. This points to a Wydad Athletic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Nairobi United
23%
Draws
42%
Wydad Athletic
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Wydad Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Nairobi United picked up more points recently compared to Wydad Athletic.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.78 vs 1.10 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Nairobi United Clean Sheet 22%
Wydad Athletic Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nairobi United Wydad Athletic
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 10 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.17 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.83 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Nairobi United vs Wydad Athletic
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Wydad Athletic vs Nairobi United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nairobi United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Wydad Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Yedder W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nairobi United 36 / 100
Wydad Athletic 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nairobi United Wydad Athletic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wydad Athletic or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nairobi United attacking → ← attacking Wydad Athletic

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nairobi United scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Wydad Athletic let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Nairobi United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Wydad Athletic lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 40
0.67 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.83 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1USM Alger64209:414
2Olympique de Safi64117:413
3Djoliba61145:74
4San Pedro61058:143
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wydad Athletic65019:215
2AS Maniema64028:312
3Azam63034:69
4Nairobi United60061:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CR Belouizdad650111:515
2Otoho d'Oyo630310:69
3Singida Black Stars61233:65
4Stellenbosch FC61232:95
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zamalek63216:411
2Al Masry63129:710
3Kaizer Chiefs63127:610
4Zesco61053:83