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Nairobi United vs Wydad Athletic Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 Moi International Sports Centre (Kasarani), Nairobi
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Match Events

54'
Sub
Mwinyi S. In: Ssematimba T.
Out: Mwinyi S.
59'
Mzee B.
65'
Sub
Byar N. In: Lamirat A.
Out: Byar N.

AI Match Summary

Wydad Athletic in this CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Nairobi United
20%
Draws
0%
Wydad Athletic
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nairobi United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Wydad Athletic at 1.21 per game, Nairobi United at 1.17.
  • Model gives Nairobi United a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Wydad Athletic, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Nairobi United Clean Sheet 20%
Wydad Athletic Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nairobi United Wydad Athletic
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.70 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Nairobi United vs Wydad Athletic
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Wydad Athletic vs Nairobi United
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nairobi United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.54
Avg xA / game 0.35

Wydad Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Yedder W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nairobi United 85 / 100
Wydad Athletic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nairobi United Wydad Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nairobi United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Wydad Athletic has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Nairobi United scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Wydad Athletic let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Nairobi United VS Wydad Athletic
0.14 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nairobi United

(Home)
31 May
Mahia
0 : 1
Nairobi United
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0
Police FC
16 May
Nairobi United
2 : 2
Posta Rangers
10 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 0
Nairobi United
06 May
Nairobi United
1 : 0
Tusker
Page 1 of 6

Wydad Athletic

(Away)
26 Sept
Wydad Athletic
1 : 3
Widad Temara
05 Jul
Wydad Athletic
1 : 2
Union Touarga
02 Jul
Berkane
2 : 0
Wydad Athletic
28 Jun
Wydad Athletic
1 : 3
Dcheira
25 Jun
Wydad Athletic
0 : 1
Maghreb Fez
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USM Alger 6 4 2 0 9:4 14
2 Olympique de Safi 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
3 Djoliba 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
4 San Pedro 6 1 0 5 8:14 3
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wydad Athletic 6 5 0 1 9:2 15
2 AS Maniema 6 4 0 2 8:3 12
3 Azam 6 3 0 3 4:6 9
4 Nairobi United 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CR Belouizdad 6 5 0 1 11:5 15
2 Otoho d'Oyo 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
3 Singida Black Stars 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
4 Stellenbosch FC 6 1 2 3 2:9 5
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamalek 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
2 Al Masry 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Kaizer Chiefs 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
4 Zesco 6 1 0 5 3:8 3
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)