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Najran vs Al Najoom - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 2
Mon, Nov 9, 2026
VS
12:25 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Najran host Al Najoom in the Division 2. This one's hard to separate. Najran have averaged 1.48 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Al Najoom's 1.1 scored and 1.13 conceded. Past meetings favor Najran slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.19 - 1.44) back Najran to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Najran
20%
Draws
29%
Al Najoom
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Najran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Najran have won more games recently than Al Najoom.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Najran Clean Sheet 16%
Al Najoom Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Najran Al Najoom
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 18
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.48 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Division 2
Najran vs Al Najoom
3:2
Dec 26, 2025 Division 2
Al Najoom vs Najran
2:2
Apr 1, 2021 Division 1
Najran vs Al Najoom
1:0
Dec 16, 2020 Division 1
Al Najoom vs Najran
1:0
Jan 21, 2020 Division 1
Al Najoom vs Najran
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Najran 30 / 100
Al Najoom 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Najran Al Najoom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Najran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Najran found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Al Najoom let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Najran has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Najran VS Al Najoom
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Najran

(Home)
03 Nov
Najran
1 : 1
Jubbah
29 Oct
Al Sharq
2 : 0
Najran
19 Oct
Jerash
1 : 2
Najran
10 Apr
Najran
3 : 2
Al Najoom
04 Apr
Jubbah
3 : 1
Najran
Page 1 of 6

Al Najoom

(Away)
03 Nov
Al Najoom
0 : 0
Al Shoalah
29 Oct
Qilwah
2 : 0
Al Najoom
24 Oct
Al Najoom
1 : 0
Al Jubail
17 Oct
Al Entesar
2 : 1
Al Najoom
10 Oct
Al Najoom
1 : 2
Al Kawkab
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baish 4 3 1 0 9:6 10
2 Al Sahel 5 3 1 1 8:5 10
3 Wej Sports Club 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
4 Al Taraji 5 2 2 1 9:9 8
5 Al Qalah 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
6 Al Ain 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
7 Al Safa 4 2 0 2 3:7 6
8 Al Rayan 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
9 Al Nairea 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
10 Al Qwarah 5 1 1 3 8:9 4
11 Al Gottah 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
12 Arar 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
13 Afief 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
14 Al Batin 4 0 3 1 2:5 3
15 Mudhar Club 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
16 Hottain 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sharq 5 3 2 0 10:1 11
2 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
3 Al Entesar 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
4 Al Rawdhah 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
5 Al Kawkab 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
6 Al Loa 4 2 1 1 7:7 7
7 Al Hada 4 1 3 0 10:7 6
8 Qilwah 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
9 Al Shoalah 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
10 Al Jubail 5 0 4 1 4:5 4
11 Najran 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
12 Al Najoom 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
13 Al Washm 4 1 1 2 6:12 4
14 Jerash 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
15 Jubbah 5 0 3 2 3:7 3
16 Al Qous 5 0 3 2 3:9 3
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)