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Nakhon Pathom vs Muang Thong Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2
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AI Match Summary

Nakhon Pathom in this Thai League 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nakhon Pathom.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Nakhon Pathom
35%
Draws
38%
Muang Thong Utd
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Muang Thong Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Muang Thong Utd have won more games recently than Nakhon Pathom.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Thai League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Nakhon Pathom Clean Sheet 68%
Muang Thong Utd Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nakhon Pathom Muang Thong Utd
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 0.83 1
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom vs Muang Thong Utd
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Thai League 1
Nakhon Pathom vs Muang Thong Utd
2:4
Jan 29, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Nakhon Pathom vs Muang Thong Utd
0:4
Nov 11, 2024 Thai League 1
Muang Thong Utd vs Nakhon Pathom
3:1
Feb 23, 2024 Thai League 1
Nakhon Pathom vs Muang Thong Utd
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nakhon Pathom 41 / 100
Muang Thong Utd 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nakhon Pathom Muang Thong Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nakhon Pathom Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Nakhon Pathom has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Muang Thong Utd conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Nakhon Pathom found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Nakhon Pathom VS Muang Thong Utd
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nakhon Pathom

(Home)
20 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
16 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 1
Kanchanaburi
13 Sept
Phrae United
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
05 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2
Nakhon Pathom
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Muang Thong Utd

(Away)
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0
Chiangmai United
15 Sept
Satun FC
3 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
12 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
04 Sept
Uttaradit FC
0 : 0
Muang Thong Utd
29 Aug
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 0
Police Tero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khonkaen United 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Uttaradit FC 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Muang Loei Utd 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
5 Phrae United 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
6 Chainat Hornbill 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
7 Muang Thong Utd 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
8 Satun FC 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
9 Kanchanaburi 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
10 Chiangmai United 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
11 Police Tero 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
12 Songkhla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
13 Chanthaburi 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
14 Nakhon Pathom 4 0 4 0 3:3 4
15 Pattaya United 4 1 1 2 1:6 4
16 Mahasarakham 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
17 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
18 Kasetsart 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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