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Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nakhon Pathom host Nong Bua Pitchaya in the Thai League 2. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Nong Bua Pitchaya have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Nakhon Pathom have conceded 1.14 and scored 0.83. Head-to-head, Nakhon Pathom have won 1 to Nong Bua Pitchaya's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.31) back Nong Bua Pitchaya to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Nakhon Pathom
35%
Draws
32%
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Nong Bua Pitchaya have won more games recently than Nakhon Pathom.
  • Win probability leans Nakhon Pathom's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Thai League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Nakhon Pathom Clean Sheet 18%
Nong Bua Pitchaya Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nakhon Pathom Nong Bua Pitchaya
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 14
Draws 9 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
3:1
Dec 3, 2025 Thai League 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Pathom
1:0
Feb 26, 2025 League Cup
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Pathom
1:0
Jan 14, 2025 Thai League 1
Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
1:1
Aug 24, 2024 Thai League 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Nakhon Pathom
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nakhon Pathom 41 / 100
Nong Bua Pitchaya 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nakhon Pathom Nong Bua Pitchaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nong Bua Pitchaya conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Nakhon Pathom has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Nakhon Pathom found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Nakhon Pathom VS Nong Bua Pitchaya
0.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nakhon Pathom

(Home)
20 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
16 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 1
Kanchanaburi
13 Sept
Phrae United
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
05 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2
Nakhon Pathom
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Nong Bua Pitchaya

(Away)
19 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
4 : 3
Satun FC
16 Sept
Uttaradit FC
2 : 2
Nong Bua Pitchaya
12 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
06 Sept
Nong Bua Pitchaya
2 : 0
Kasetsart
23 May
Pattani
3 : 1
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khonkaen United 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Uttaradit FC 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Muang Loei Utd 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
5 Phrae United 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
6 Chainat Hornbill 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
7 Muang Thong Utd 4 2 1 1 3:4 7
8 Satun FC 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
9 Kanchanaburi 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
10 Chiangmai United 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
11 Police Tero 4 2 0 2 4:5 6
12 Songkhla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
13 Chanthaburi 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
14 Nakhon Pathom 4 0 4 0 3:3 4
15 Pattaya United 4 1 1 2 1:6 4
16 Mahasarakham 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
17 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
18 Kasetsart 4 0 1 3 0:6 1
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