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Nakhon Pathom vs Udon Thani

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Nergaard P.

AI Match Summary

Nakhon Pathom in this Thai League 2 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nakhon Pathom.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Nakhon Pathom
35%
Draws
30%
Udon Thani
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Nakhon Pathom have won more games recently than Udon Thani.
  • Nakhon Pathom are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Nakhon Pathom Clean Sheet 20%
Udon Thani Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nakhon Pathom Udon Thani
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 10 3
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 0.84 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Thai League 2
Udon Thani vs Nakhon Pathom
1:2
Dec 11, 2022 Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom vs Udon Thani
1:0
Jan 29, 2022 Thai League 2
Udon Thani vs Nakhon Pathom
0:4
Sep 26, 2021 Thai League 2
Nakhon Pathom vs Udon Thani
2:2
Mar 21, 2021 Thai League 2
Udon Thani vs Nakhon Pathom
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nakhon Pathom Compare

Top Goalscorer Nergaard P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Udon Thani Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nakhon Pathom 85 / 100
Udon Thani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nakhon Pathom Udon Thani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nakhon Pathom Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Udon Thani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Nakhon Pathom remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Udon Thani has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nakhon Pathom VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nakhon Pathom

(Home)
20 Sept
Kasetsart
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
16 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
1 : 1
Kanchanaburi
13 Sept
Phrae United
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
05 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2
Nakhon Pathom
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Udon Thani

(Away)
30 Apr
Uthai Thani
8 : 1
Udon Thani
23 Apr
Udon Thani
1 : 2
Nakhon Pathom
08 Apr
Chiangmai FC
6 : 0
Udon Thani
02 Apr
Udon Thani
2 : 1
Samut Prakan City
29 Mar
Udon Thani
4 : 3
Chainat Hornbill
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nakhon Pathom 34 16 12 6 32:20 60
2 Trat FC 34 17 9 8 55:34 60
3 Uthai Thani 34 16 11 7 70:36 59
4 Customs Utd 34 17 7 10 45:31 58
5 Chiangmai United 34 15 9 10 36:32 54
6 Suphanburi FC 34 16 4 14 36:35 52
7 Rayong FC 34 14 10 10 41:30 52
8 Nakhon Si United 34 14 9 11 48:42 51
9 Phrae United 34 13 12 9 50:43 51
10 Ayutthaya United 34 15 6 13 50:43 51
11 Chiangmai FC 34 13 7 14 49:41 46
12 Krabi 34 10 12 12 46:46 42
13 Chainat Hornbill 34 11 8 15 44:48 41
14 Samut Prakan City 34 8 13 13 32:42 37
15 Kasetsart 34 8 13 13 35:42 37
16 Raj Pracha 34 9 10 15 29:41 37
17 Ranong 34 6 9 19 28:64 27
18 Udon Thani 34 6 3 25 31:87 21
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