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Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Chainat Hornbill - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Ahmed M. M.
60' Event
Badji O.
85' Event
Srinam B.

AI Match Summary

Chainat Hornbill in this Thai League 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chainat Hornbill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
35%
Draws
45%
Chainat Hornbill
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chainat Hornbill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Nakhon Ratchasima FC haven't matched Chainat Hornbill's recent run of results.
  • Chainat Hornbill are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Clean Sheet 16%
Chainat Hornbill Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nakhon Ratchasima FC Chainat Hornbill
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.75 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Thai League 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Chainat Hornbill
1:2
Oct 30, 2024 League Cup
Chainat Hornbill vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
3:1
Jan 7, 2024 Thai League 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Chainat Hornbill
1:1
Aug 19, 2023 Thai League 2
Chainat Hornbill vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0:1
Jan 12, 2022 League Cup
Chainat Hornbill vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nakhon Ratchasima FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Srinam B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Chainat Hornbill Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahmed M. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Badji O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nakhon Ratchasima FC 28 / 100
Chainat Hornbill 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Chainat Hornbill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chainat Hornbill Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chainat Hornbill's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Nakhon Ratchasima FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Nakhon Ratchasima FC's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nakhon Ratchasima FC VS Chainat Hornbill
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nakhon Ratchasima FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Police Tero
1 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
19 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2
Chainat Hornbill
16 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
12 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2
Chiangmai United
05 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Page 1 of 6

Chainat Hornbill

(Away)
19 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2
Chainat Hornbill
16 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
0 : 0
Pattaya United
13 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
3 : 0
Chainat Hornbill
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1
Phrae United
29 Aug
Uthai Thani
3 : 1
Chainat Hornbill
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khonkaen United 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Chiangmai United 5 3 0 2 7:4 9
3 Muang Loei Utd 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
4 Uttaradit FC 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
5 Nong Bua Pitchaya 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
6 Nakhon Pathom 5 1 4 0 4:3 7
7 Phrae United 5 2 1 2 6:6 7
8 Chainat Hornbill 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
9 Police Tero 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Muang Thong Utd 5 2 1 2 3:5 7
11 Satun FC 4 2 0 2 11:9 6
12 Kanchanaburi 5 1 3 1 7:6 6
13 Songkhla 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
14 Pattaya United 5 1 2 2 3:8 5
15 Chanthaburi 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
16 Nakhon Ratchasima FC 5 0 3 2 6:8 3
17 Mahasarakham 4 0 3 1 3:6 3
18 Kasetsart 5 0 1 4 0:8 1
Promotion - Thai League 1 2027/2028 (Main)
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