Sport Picks
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Chiangmai United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Thailand
Thai League 2 
Match Events
5'
5'
Chaowana Y.
33'
33'
Samuel Gomes
38'
38'
Jeong W.
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 2 game between Nakhon Ratchasima FC and Chiangmai United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chiangmai United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
30%
52%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chiangmai United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Chiangmai United carry the better recent record into this one.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Chiangmai United taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Clean Sheet 16%
Chiangmai United Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | Chiangmai United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 6 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 0 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Thai League 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Chiangmai United
1:2
Mar 30, 2024 Thai League 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Chiangmai United
2:2
Dec 9, 2023 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2:0
Jan 23, 2022 Thai League 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Chiangmai United
2:2
Sep 26, 2021 Thai League 1
Chiangmai United vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Samuel Gomes
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Chiangmai United Compare
Top Goalscorer Chaowana Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jeong W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 23 / 100
Chiangmai United 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Chiangmai United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chiangmai United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chiangmai United let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Nakhon Ratchasima FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Nakhon Ratchasima FC scored in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Nakhon Ratchasima FC VS Chiangmai United
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
(Home) 10 Oct
Police Tero
1 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
19 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chainat Hornbill
16 Sept
Mahasarakham
1 : 1 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
12 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chiangmai United
05 Sept
Nakhon Pathom
2 : 2 Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chainat Hornbill
12 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chiangmai United
22 Aug
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0 : 0 Rasisalai United
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 Sukhothai
11 Apr
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0 Bangkok Utd
Page 1 of 3
Chiangmai United
(Away) 10 Oct
Chiangmai United
2 : 0 Kasetsart
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0 Chiangmai United
15 Sept
Chiangmai United
3 : 1 Khonkaen United
12 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chiangmai United
05 Sept
Chiangmai United
0 : 1 Pattaya United
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0 Chiangmai United
12 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2 Chiangmai United
25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4 Chiangmai United
21 Mar
Khonkaen United
2 : 1 Chiangmai United
07 Mar
Pattaya United
4 : 1 Chiangmai United
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Khonkaen United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Chiangmai United | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Muang Loei Utd | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Uttaradit FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 5 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 7 |
| 6 | Nakhon Pathom | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 7 | Phrae United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 8 | Chainat Hornbill | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 9 | Police Tero | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 10 | Muang Thong Utd | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 7 |
| 11 | Satun FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:9 | 6 |
| 12 | Kanchanaburi | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 13 | Songkhla | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 14 | Pattaya United | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:8 | 5 |
| 15 | Chanthaburi | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 17 | Mahasarakham | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 18 | Kasetsart | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Thai League 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
