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Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Kasem Bundit

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Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nakhon Ratchasima FC play Kasem Bundit in the Club Friendly 2023. Nakhon Ratchasima FC are favorites here. Recently, Nakhon Ratchasima FC averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Kasem Bundit averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Nakhon Ratchasima FC won 0, Kasem Bundit won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 19, 2023 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Nakhon Ratchasima FC and 1.13 for Kasem Bundit. This points to a Nakhon Ratchasima FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
18%
Draws
20%
Kasem Bundit
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Nakhon Ratchasima FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence
  • Nakhon Ratchasima FC picked up more points recently compared to Kasem Bundit.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Clean Sheet 21%
Kasem Bundit Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nakhon Ratchasima FC Kasem Bundit
Matches Played 33 6
Wins 9 0
Draws 5 2
Losses 19 4
Goals Scored 0.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2023 Club Friendly
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Kasem Bundit
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nakhon Ratchasima FC 60 / 100
Kasem Bundit 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Kasem Bundit

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nakhon Ratchasima FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Nakhon Ratchasima FC & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nakhon Ratchasima FC attacking → ← attacking Kasem Bundit

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nakhon Ratchasima FC scored in 58% of their last 33 games.

Kasem Bundit let in goals in 100% of their last 6 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Nakhon Ratchasima FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kasem Bundit lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 2
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00