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Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Lamphun Warrior

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 80th Birthday Stadium, Nakhon Ratchasima
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Murillo Dennis
42' Event
Pumwisat A.
Assist: Osman M.
46'
Sub
Becerra J. In: Kusano Y.
Out: Becerra J.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Nakhon Ratchasima FC and Lamphun Warrior finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lamphun Warrior.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
30%
Draws
34%
Lamphun Warrior
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nakhon Ratchasima FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Nakhon Ratchasima FC haven't matched Lamphun Warrior's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Nakhon Ratchasima FC taking it.
  • Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Clean Sheet 20%
Lamphun Warrior Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nakhon Ratchasima FC Lamphun Warrior
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 16
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Thai League 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Lamphun Warrior
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
2:2
Jan 14, 2025 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
3:0
Aug 24, 2024 Thai League 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Lamphun Warrior
1:1
Feb 19, 2023 Thai League 1
Lamphun Warrior vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nakhon Ratchasima FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Lamphun Warrior Compare

Top Goalscorer Pumwisat A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nakhon Ratchasima FC 36 / 100
Lamphun Warrior 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Lamphun Warrior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lamphun Warrior has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Nakhon Ratchasima FC scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Nakhon Ratchasima FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nakhon Ratchasima FC VS Lamphun Warrior
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nakhon Ratchasima FC

(Home)
10 May
Chonburi
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
02 May
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0
Sukhothai
25 Apr
Pathum United
1 : 0
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
18 Apr
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
11 Apr
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 0
Bangkok Utd
Page 1 of 6

Lamphun Warrior

(Away)
17 May
Prachuap
1 : 0
Lamphun Warrior
10 May
Buriram United F.C.
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
03 May
Lamphun Warrior
0 : 0
Chiangrai Utd
26 Apr
Rayong FC
1 : 1
Lamphun Warrior
11 Apr
Lamphun Warrior
1 : 2
Ratchaburi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - Thai League 2 (Main)