Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Rayong FC

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 1 2025/2026 80th Birthday Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Murillo Dennis
Assist: Kusano Y.
24'
Inpaen S.
32'
Sontisawat S.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 1 2025/2026 game between Nakhon Ratchasima FC and Rayong FC finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nakhon Ratchasima FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
6%
Draws
4%
Rayong FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Nakhon Ratchasima FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rayong FC come out ahead of Nakhon Ratchasima FC on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Nakhon Ratchasima FC taking it.
  • Regular Thai League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Clean Sheet 68%
Rayong FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nakhon Ratchasima FC Rayong FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Thai League 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Rayong FC
2:1
Aug 22, 2025 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1:2
Jan 25, 2025 Thai League 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC vs Rayong FC
3:3
Aug 31, 2024 Thai League 1
Rayong FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1:1
Feb 7, 2024 Thai League 2
Rayong FC vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nakhon Ratchasima FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Murillo Dennis
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Rayong FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ratree S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nakhon Ratchasima FC 95 / 100
Rayong FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nakhon Ratchasima FC Rayong FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rayong FC conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Nakhon Ratchasima FC scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Nakhon Ratchasima FC remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nakhon Ratchasima FC VS Rayong FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Buriram United F.C.30224476:3170
2Port MTI FC30186659:2360
3Ratchaburi30185755:3059
4Pathum United301410645:2952
5Bangkok Utd301311643:3250
6Prachuap301112739:3745
7Chiangrai Utd30913836:3740
8Chonburi301091138:4139
9Rayong FC309101144:4937
10Ayutthaya United30881434:5032
11Uthai Thani307101339:4431
12Lamphun Warrior30417935:4729
13Sukhothai306101423:4228
14Muang Thong Utd30681627:5226
15Nakhon Ratchasima FC30661820:4424
16Kanchanaburi304111529:5423