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Nakhon Si United vs Chiangmai FC

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Maya N.
90'
Noonart A.
90'
Noonart A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Nakhon Si United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nakhon Si United
44%
Draws
20%
Chiangmai FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Chiangmai FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Chiangmai FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chiangmai FC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Nakhon Si United Clean Sheet 20%
Chiangmai FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nakhon Si United Chiangmai FC
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 12 7
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Thai League 2
Chiangmai FC vs Nakhon Si United
2:2
May 4, 2024 Thai League 2
Nakhon Si United vs Chiangmai FC
1:0
Feb 11, 2024 Thai League 2
Nakhon Si United vs Chiangmai FC
0:2
Oct 8, 2023 Thai League 2
Chiangmai FC vs Nakhon Si United
2:3
Jan 21, 2023 Thai League 2
Chiangmai FC vs Nakhon Si United
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nakhon Si United Compare

Top Goalscorer Maya N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Chiangmai FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nakhon Si United 36 / 100
Chiangmai FC 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nakhon Si United Chiangmai FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Nakhon Si United scored in 62% of their last 34 games.

Chiangmai FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Nakhon Si United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nakhon Si United VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nakhon Si United

(Home)
25 Apr
Nakhon Si United
0 : 0
Pattani
19 Apr
Songkhla
0 : 1
Nakhon Si United
05 Apr
Bangkok FC
2 : 0
Nakhon Si United
29 Mar
Nakhon Si United
0 : 1
Trat FC
21 Mar
Nakhon Si United
1 : 1
Chanthaburi
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Chiangmai FC

(Away)
29 Oct
Pattaya City
1 : 0
Chiangmai FC
11 May
Chiangmai FC
2 : 2
Nakhon Si United
04 May
Nakhon Si United
1 : 0
Chiangmai FC
27 Apr
Kasetsart
1 : 1
Chiangmai FC
21 Apr
Chiangmai FC
2 : 0
Chainat Hornbill
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Rayong FC5
Ayutthaya United3
Chiangmai FC2
Nakhon Si United3
Final
Rayong FC1
Nakhon Si United1