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Nalkutan vs Ba

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Sub
Coulon R. In: Stephen E.
Out: Coulon R.
36'
Nabenia S.
54'
Tiwa M.

AI Match Summary

Nalkutan in this OFC Champions League 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nalkutan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nalkutan
15%
Draws
49%
Ba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Nalkutan haven't matched Ba's recent run of results.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Ba taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Nalkutan Clean Sheet 13%
Ba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nalkutan Ba
Matches Played 4 31
Wins 3 18
Draws 0 7
Losses 1 6
Goals Scored 2.5 2.71
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2018 OFC Champions League
Nalkutan vs Ba
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nalkutan 22 / 100
Ba 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nalkutan Ba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nalkutan found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (4 games).

Ba let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

Nalkutan went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ba
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nalkutan

(Home)
07 Apr
Nalkutan
1 : 2
Marist
16 Feb
Lae City
1 : 4
Nalkutan
13 Feb
Tupapa
0 : 4
Nalkutan
10 Feb
Nalkutan
1 : 0
Ba

Ba

(Away)
29 Aug
Ba
1 : 0
Rewa
09 Aug
Ba
6 : 0
Tailevu Naitasiri
01 Aug
Labasa
1 : 2
Ba
26 Jul
Ba
4 : 1
Lautoka
19 Jul
Ba
1 : 0
Navua
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nalkutan 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Lae City 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 Ba 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Tupapa 3 0 0 3 3:15 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Dragon 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
2 Solomon Warriors 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 Erakor Golden Star 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
4 Lossi 3 0 1 2 3:12 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Lautoka 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Venus 3 1 0 2 3:10 3
4 Madang Fox 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Team Wellington 3 2 1 0 13:3 7
2 Marist 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Magenta 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
4 Lupe ole Soaga 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2018 (Play Offs)