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Nalkutan vs Marist

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Tome D.
25' Event
Iniga A.
33'
Bule J.

AI Match Summary

Marist in this OFC Champions League 2018 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Nalkutan
22%
Draws
32%
Marist
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Nalkutan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Marist have won more games recently than Nalkutan.
  • Model gives Nalkutan a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Marist arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Marist, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Nalkutan Clean Sheet 20%
Marist Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nalkutan Marist
Matches Played 4 22
Wins 3 5
Draws 0 5
Losses 1 12
Goals Scored 2.5 1.45
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2018 OFC Champions League
Nalkutan vs Marist
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nalkutan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaloros B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Marist Compare

Top Goalscorer Iniga A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tome D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nalkutan 67 / 100
Marist 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nalkutan Marist

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nalkutan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Nalkutan scored in 100% of their last 4 outings.

Marist let in goals in 91% of their last 22 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Nalkutan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nalkutan VS Marist
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Nalkutan

(Home)
07 Apr
Nalkutan
1 : 2
Marist
16 Feb
Lae City
1 : 4
Nalkutan
13 Feb
Tupapa
0 : 4
Nalkutan
10 Feb
Nalkutan
1 : 0
Ba

Marist

(Away)
29 Apr
Marist
0 : 1
Lautoka
22 Apr
Lautoka
1 : 1
Marist
07 Apr
Nalkutan
1 : 2
Marist
02 Mar
Lupe ole Soaga
1 : 3
Marist
27 Feb
Marist
1 : 1
Magenta
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Team Wellington 11
Lae City 0
Auckland City 2
Solomon Warriors 0
AS Dragon 1
Lautoka 2
Nalkutan 1
Marist 2
Semi-finals
Team Wellington 2
Auckland City 2
Lautoka 2
Marist 1
Final
Team Wellington 10
Lautoka 3