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Nam Dinh vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Thiên Trường Stadium, Nam Định
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
0 - 1
11:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
'
'

AI Match Summary

Nam Dinh host Phu Dong Ninh Binh in the V.League 1. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Nam Dinh have averaged 1.74 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Phu Dong Ninh Binh's 2.06 scored and 1.3 conceded. Head-to-head, Nam Dinh have won 1 to Phu Dong Ninh Binh's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.06) point toward Phu Dong Ninh Binh. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Nam Dinh
15%
Draws
54%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Phu Dong Ninh Binh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Nam Dinh haven't matched Phu Dong Ninh Binh's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Phu Dong Ninh Binh a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Regular V.League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Phu Dong Ninh Binh have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Nam Dinh Clean Sheet 10%
Phu Dong Ninh Binh Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nam Dinh Phu Dong Ninh Binh
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 14 20
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.74 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 V.League 1
Nam Dinh vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
3:2
Sep 22, 2025 V.League 1
Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Nam Dinh
2:0
Feb 26, 2020 Club Friendly
Nam Dinh vs Phu Dong Ninh Binh
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nam Dinh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Phu Dong Ninh Binh Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Hoang Duc
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nam Dinh 10 / 100
Phu Dong Ninh Binh 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nam Dinh Phu Dong Ninh Binh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Phu Dong Ninh Binh Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nam Dinh found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Phu Dong Ninh Binh conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Nam Dinh went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nam Dinh VS Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nam Dinh

(Home)
11 Sept
Da Nang
3 : 0
Nam Dinh
06 Sept
Nam Dinh
4 : 0
Gia Lai
11 Jun
Nam Dinh
2 : 4
Ho Chi Minh
07 Jun
Hai Phong
1 : 1
Nam Dinh
31 May
Nam Dinh
3 : 0
Song Lam Nghe An
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Phu Dong Ninh Binh

(Away)
11 Sept
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
2 : 1
Thanh Hoa
05 Sept
Hai Phong
1 : 4
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
14 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
1 : 2
Ho Chi Minh
11 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
4 : 1
Viettel
07 Jun
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
3 : 0
Hong Linh Ha Tinh
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
3 Song Lam Nghe An 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
4 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
5 Da Nang 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
6 Nam Dinh 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
7 Ho Chi Minh 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
8 Thanh Hoa 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
9 Bac Ninh 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Hai Phong 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
11 Viettel 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
12 Hanoi FC 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
13 Gia Lai 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
14 Truong Tuoi Dong Nai 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 2027/2028 (Main)