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Stadium Background

Namibia W vs Madagascar W

Africa Africa

COSAFA Cup Women Seshego Stadium, Polokwane
Namibia W Logo

Namibia W

0 - 1
FT
Madagascar W Logo

Madagascar W

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Razanampiavy A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Namibia W
20%
Draws
38%
Madagascar W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Namibia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Namibia W have won more games recently than Madagascar W.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Namibia W taking it.
  • Namibia W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Madagascar W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Namibia W Clean Sheet 20%
Madagascar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Namibia W Madagascar W
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.37
Goals Conceded 1 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2026 COSAFA Cup Women
Namibia W vs Madagascar W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Namibia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Madagascar W Compare

Top Goalscorer Razanampiavy A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Namibia W 36 / 100
Madagascar W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Namibia W Madagascar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Namibia W's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Madagascar W has conceded goals in 63% of their last 19 outings.

Namibia W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Namibia W VS Madagascar W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.14
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.71
75% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Namibia W

(Home)
01 Mar
Namibia W
2 : 1
South Africa W
27 Feb
Zambia W
0 : 1
Namibia W
23 Feb
Namibia W
0 : 1
Madagascar W
20 Feb
Mozambique W
0 : 2
Namibia W
26 Oct
Zambia W
3 : 0
Namibia W
Page 1 of 6

Madagascar W

(Away)
09 Jun
Madagascar W
1 : 0
South Sudan W
06 Jun
South Sudan W
1 : 1
Madagascar W
25 Feb
Mozambique W
2 : 0
Madagascar W
23 Feb
Namibia W
0 : 1
Madagascar W
28 Oct
Madagascar W
0 : 0
Botswana W
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Malawi W 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Angola W 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Lesotho W 3 0 1 2 3:12 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zambia W 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
2 Zimbabwe W 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Eswatini W 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Botswana W 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Namibia W 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
2 Mozambique W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Madagascar W 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
Promotion - COSAFA Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams