Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Namungo vs Coastal Union - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Majaliwa Stadium, Lindi
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Namungo host Coastal Union in the Ligi Kuu Bara. Little to choose between these two on current form. Coastal Union have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while Namungo have conceded 1.27 and scored 0.8. Past meetings favor Namungo slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 12, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.19, favoring Coastal Union. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Namungo
15%
Draws
64%
Coastal Union
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coastal Union

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Coastal Union lately — more wins on the board than Namungo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Namungo Clean Sheet 20%
Coastal Union Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Namungo Coastal Union
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Namungo
1:1
Jan 23, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Coastal Union
1:0
Feb 23, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Coastal Union
0:0
Sep 17, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Coastal Union vs Namungo
0:2
Apr 17, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Coastal Union
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Namungo 36 / 100
Coastal Union 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Namungo Coastal Union

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coastal Union Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coastal Union let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Namungo's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Namungo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Namungo VS Coastal Union
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Namungo

(Home)
08 Oct
Namungo
1 : 0
TRA United
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Namungo
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
Page 1 of 6

Coastal Union

(Away)
12 Oct
Coastal Union
1 : 0
Singida Black Stars
09 Oct
Coastal Union
0 : 2
Azam
12 Sept
Coastal Union
2 : 1
JKT Tanzania
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 8 8 0 0 19:4 24
2 Young Africans 7 6 0 1 17:4 18
3 Azam 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
4 Mashujaa 8 4 0 4 9:13 12
5 Singida Black Stars 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
6 Dodoma Jiji 7 3 2 2 5:5 11
7 Polisi Tanzania 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
8 Mbeya City 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
9 JKT Tanzania 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
10 Coastal Union 8 3 1 4 7:11 10
11 Namungo 8 3 0 5 7:11 9
12 Geita Gold 7 2 1 4 9:12 7
13 TRA United 7 1 3 3 6:7 6
14 Kagera Sugar 7 1 2 4 8:15 5
15 Pamba 7 1 1 5 8:13 4
16 Fountain Gate 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)