Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Namungo vs Fountain Gate Prediction & H2H Stats

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Majaliwa Stadium, Lindi
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Lukindo H.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Namungo and Fountain Gate finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Namungo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Namungo
15%
Draws
49%
Fountain Gate
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fountain Gate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Fountain Gate carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Namungo are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Namungo Clean Sheet 20%
Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Namungo Fountain Gate
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.79 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Fountain Gate
1:0
Jun 27, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Fountain Gate
0:0
Feb 4, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Namungo
1:1
Dec 25, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Namungo
1:2
Aug 29, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Fountain Gate
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Namungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lukindo H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Fountain Gate Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Namungo 42 / 100
Fountain Gate 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Namungo Fountain Gate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fountain Gate let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Fountain Gate lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Namungo scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Namungo VS Fountain Gate
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Namungo

(Home)
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Namungo
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0
Fountain Gate
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Fountain Gate

(Away)
13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1
Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Young Africans
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Mbeya City
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0
Fountain Gate
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0
Mashujaa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 6 6 0 0 16:2 18
2 Simba 6 6 0 0 11:2 18
3 Azam 7 4 2 1 11:7 14
4 Singida Black Stars 6 3 1 2 13:9 10
5 Polisi Tanzania 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
6 Mbeya City 6 3 1 2 6:4 10
7 Dodoma Jiji 6 3 1 2 4:4 10
8 Mashujaa 6 3 0 3 6:6 9
9 Geita Gold 6 2 1 3 9:8 7
10 JKT Tanzania 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
11 Coastal Union 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 TRA United 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 Namungo 7 2 0 5 6:11 6
14 Fountain Gate 6 1 1 4 2:9 4
15 Kagera Sugar 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
16 Pamba 6 0 1 5 4:13 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)