Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024

Geita Gold

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Namungo play Geita Gold in the Ligi Kuu Bara 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Namungo averaged 0.79 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Geita Gold averaged 0.63 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. In past meetings, Namungo won 2, Geita Gold won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Namungo and 1.44 for Geita Gold. This points to a Namungo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

Namungo

31%

Draws

28%

Geita Gold

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Namungo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Namungo picked up more points recently compared to Geita Gold.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 57%

Over 2.5 Goals 30%

Over 3.5 Goals 18%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%

Namungo Clean Sheet 16%

Geita Gold Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 51%

Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Namungo	Geita Gold
Matches Played	34	30
Wins	8	5
Draws	14	9
Losses	12	16
Goals Scored	0.79	0.63
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara

Namungo vs Geita Gold

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Nov 26, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara

Geita Gold vs Namungo

Possession: 55% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Feb 26, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara

Namungo vs Geita Gold

Possession: 57% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Oct 22, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Geita Gold vs Namungo

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 4 - 4

2:1

Feb 25, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Geita Gold vs Namungo

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 3 - 4

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Namungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Masawe J.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Geita Gold Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Namungo 40 / 100

Geita Gold 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Namungo Geita Gold

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Namungo or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +25.1%

4.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Namungo attacking → ← attacking Geita Gold

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Namungo scored in 59% of their last 34 games.

Geita Gold let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Namungo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Geita Gold lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 24

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	26	2	2	71:14	80
2	Azam	30	21	6	3	63:21	69
3	Simba	30	21	6	3	59:25	69
4	Coastal Union	30	11	10	9	22:19	43
5	Kinondoni MC	30	8	13	9	27:39	37
6	Namungo	30	8	12	10	27:29	36
7	Singida Black Stars	30	9	9	12	29:36	36
8	Mashujaa	30	9	8	13	30:33	35
9	Tanzania Prisons	30	7	13	10	29:35	34
10	Kagera Sugar	30	7	13	10	23:32	34
11	Fountain Gate	30	8	9	13	29:39	33
12	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	9	13	19:32	33
13	JKT Tanzania	30	6	14	10	21:30	32
14	TRA United	30	5	12	13	20:41	27
15	Geita Gold	30	5	10	15	18:38	25
16	Mtibwa Sugar	30	5	6	19	30:54	21