Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Namungo vs KenGold

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 Majaliwa Stadium, Lindi
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kagere M.
Assist: Nyoni E.
29' Event
Kagere M.
40' Event
Kabunda H.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 game between Namungo and KenGold finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Namungo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Namungo
15%
Draws
0%
KenGold
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Namungo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Namungo come out ahead of KenGold on wins alone.
  • Namungo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Namungo Clean Sheet 20%
KenGold Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Namungo KenGold
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 12 7
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 0.97 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs KenGold
5:0
Dec 15, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
KenGold vs Namungo
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Namungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kagere M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kabunda H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

KenGold Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Namungo 85 / 100
KenGold 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Namungo KenGold

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Namungo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KenGold's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Difficult form: KenGold registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Namungo scored in 62% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

Namungo VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Namungo

(Home)
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Namungo
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0
Fountain Gate
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KenGold

(Away)
22 Jun
Namungo
5 : 0
KenGold
18 Jun
KenGold
0 : 5
Simba
13 May
KenGold
0 : 2
Pamba
21 Apr
Coastal Union
2 : 1
KenGold
09 Apr
KenGold
1 : 3
Tanzania Prisons
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 27 1 2 83:10 82
2 Simba 30 25 3 2 69:13 78
3 Azam 30 19 6 5 56:19 63
4 Singida Black Stars 30 17 6 7 45:26 57
5 TRA United 30 10 8 12 28:45 38
6 JKT Tanzania 30 8 12 10 27:27 36
7 Mashujaa 30 8 11 11 29:33 35
8 Coastal Union 30 8 11 11 26:31 35
9 Namungo 30 9 8 13 28:36 35
10 Kinondoni MC 30 9 8 13 26:43 35
11 Pamba 30 8 10 12 22:33 34
12 Dodoma Jiji 30 9 7 14 31:49 34
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 8 7 15 26:46 31
14 Fountain Gate 30 8 5 17 32:58 29
15 Kagera Sugar 30 5 8 17 22:41 23
16 KenGold 30 3 7 20 22:62 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2024/2025 (Relegation)