Sport Picks

Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Majaliwa Stadium

Namungo

1 - 1

Mbeya City

Our Tip

Match Events

Kabunda H.

27'

Ambokile E.

55'

Sub

Shahame A. In: Ngoye F.

Out: Shahame A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara game between Namungo and Mbeya City finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Namungo

44%

Draws

20%

Mbeya City

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Recent numbers put Namungo and Mbeya City close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 23%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Namungo Clean Sheet 24%

Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Namungo	Mbeya City
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	7	7
Draws	12	9
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	0.75	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara

Namungo vs Mbeya City

Possession: 47% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Nov 30, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs Namungo

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Apr 9, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara

Namungo vs Mbeya City

Possession: 54% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Nov 4, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs Namungo

Possession: 52% - 45% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Jun 29, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara

Mbeya City vs Namungo

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Namungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabunda H.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Mbeya City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ambokile E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Namungo 37 / 100

Mbeya City 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Namungo Mbeya City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MBE Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Namungo went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Namungo's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mbeya City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Namungo VS Mbeya City

0.75 Goals Scored 0.75

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25

50% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 13%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	30	23	6	1	71:9	75
2	Simba	30	22	7	1	54:11	73
3	Azam	30	18	10	2	46:12	64
4	Singida Black Stars	30	15	5	10	47:35	50
5	TRA United	30	11	10	9	33:28	43
6	JKT Tanzania	30	10	12	8	30:33	42
7	Pamba	30	9	9	12	32:35	36
8	Coastal Union	30	9	9	12	31:37	36
9	Dodoma Jiji	30	8	11	11	25:36	35
10	Namungo	30	7	13	10	25:32	34
11	Mashujaa	30	7	12	11	15:27	33
12	Fountain Gate	30	9	6	15	25:44	33
13	Tanzania Prisons	30	9	5	16	23:41	32
14	Mbeya City	30	7	9	14	24:41	30
15	Mtibwa Sugar	30	6	9	15	25:48	27
16	Kinondoni MC	30	2	3	25	16:53	9