Sport Picks
Namungo vs Mbeya City
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Majaliwa Stadium, Lindi 
Match Events
6'
6'
Kabunda H.
27'
27'
Ambokile E.
55'
55'
Sub
Shahame A. In: Ngoye F.
Out: Shahame A.
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Namungo and Mbeya City finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mbeya City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mbeya City carry the better recent record into this one.
- Mbeya City are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Namungo Clean Sheet 19%
Mbeya City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Namungo | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 21, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Mbeya City
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Namungo
0:1
Apr 9, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Mbeya City
2:1
Nov 4, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Namungo
2:1
Jun 29, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mbeya City vs Namungo
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Namungo Compare
Top Goalscorer Kabunda H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Mbeya City Compare
Top Goalscorer Ambokile E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Namungo 24 / 100
Mbeya City 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Namungo Mbeya City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mbeya City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Namungo scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Mbeya City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Namungo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Namungo VS Mbeya City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Namungo
(Home) 01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2 Namungo
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1 Namungo
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0 Fountain Gate
18 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0 Geita Gold
15 Aug
Namungo
1 : 3 Young Africans
Page 1 of 6
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0 Fountain Gate
18 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0 Geita Gold
15 Aug
Namungo
1 : 3 Young Africans
30 Jun
Namungo
2 : 1 Mtibwa Sugar
27 Jun
Namungo
0 : 0 Fountain Gate
Page 1 of 3
Mbeya City
(Away) 04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
23 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 1 Mashujaa
19 Aug
Mbeya City
2 : 0 Dodoma Jiji
14 Aug
Mbeya City
0 : 1 Geita Gold
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
TRA United
0 : 0 Mbeya City
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
08 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
0 : 0 Mbeya City
27 Jun
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 1 Mbeya City
24 Jun
Pamba
0 : 2 Mbeya City
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 71:9 | 75 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 54:11 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 10 | 2 | 46:12 | 64 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 47:35 | 50 |
| 5 | TRA United | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 33:28 | 43 |
| 6 | JKT Tanzania | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 30:33 | 42 |
| 7 | Pamba | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 32:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Coastal Union | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:37 | 36 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 25:36 | 35 |
| 10 | Namungo | 30 | 7 | 13 | 10 | 25:32 | 34 |
| 11 | Mashujaa | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 15:27 | 33 |
| 12 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 25:44 | 33 |
| 13 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 23:41 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24:41 | 30 |
| 15 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 25:48 | 27 |
| 16 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 16:53 | 9 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)
