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Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara Majaliwa Stadium, Lindi
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Namungo host Polisi Tanzania in the Ligi Kuu Bara. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Polisi Tanzania have shipped 1.62 goals a game lately, while Namungo have conceded 1.24 and scored 0.79. Past meetings favor Polisi Tanzania slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 14, 2023, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.50, favoring Polisi Tanzania. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Namungo
15%
Draws
49%
Polisi Tanzania
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Polisi Tanzania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Polisi Tanzania come out ahead of Namungo on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Polisi Tanzania have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Namungo Clean Sheet 16%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Namungo Polisi Tanzania
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 6 10
Draws 12 6
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 0.79 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania
0:2
Oct 19, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Namungo
1:0
Jun 16, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania
1:2
Jan 17, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Namungo
0:0
Apr 15, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Namungo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Namungo 31 / 100
Polisi Tanzania 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Namungo Polisi Tanzania

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Polisi Tanzania conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Polisi Tanzania lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Namungo scored in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Namungo VS Polisi Tanzania
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Namungo

(Home)
08 Oct
Namungo
1 : 0
TRA United
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Namungo
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
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Polisi Tanzania

(Away)
17 Oct
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
08 Oct
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
Mbeya City
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2
Polisi Tanzania
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 8 8 0 0 19:4 24
2 Young Africans 7 6 0 1 17:4 18
3 Azam 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
4 Dodoma Jiji 8 4 2 2 8:5 14
5 JKT Tanzania 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
6 Mashujaa 8 4 0 4 9:13 12
7 Singida Black Stars 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
8 Polisi Tanzania 8 3 2 3 11:10 11
9 Mbeya City 8 3 1 4 8:9 10
10 Coastal Union 8 3 1 4 7:11 10
11 Namungo 8 3 0 5 7:11 9
12 Geita Gold 8 2 1 5 9:15 7
13 TRA United 7 1 3 3 6:7 6
14 Kagera Sugar 8 1 3 4 9:16 6
15 Pamba 8 1 2 5 9:14 5
16 Fountain Gate 8 1 2 5 4:12 5
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)