Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Namungo vs Simba

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Majaliwa Stadium, Lindi
Namungo Logo

Namungo

1 - 3
FT
Simba Logo

Simba

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gueye L.
Assist: Chama C.
25' Event
Oura A. A.
34' Event
Makambo H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Namungo and Simba finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Simba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Namungo
15%
Draws
71%
Simba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Simba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Simba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Simba's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Simba here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Namungo Clean Sheet 18%
Simba Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Namungo Simba
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 23
Draws 10 4
Losses 14 1
Goals Scored 0.8 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.68 1.35
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Simba
1:3
Oct 1, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Namungo
3:0
Feb 19, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Simba
0:3
Oct 25, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Simba vs Namungo
3:0
Apr 30, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Namungo vs Simba
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Namungo Compare

Top Goalscorer Makambo H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Simba Compare

Top Goalscorer Gueye L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Oura A. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Namungo 15 / 100
Simba 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Namungo Simba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Simba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Namungo scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Simba has conceded goals in 32% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Namungo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Namungo VS Simba
0.86 Goals Scored 1.13
1.57 Goals Conceded 0.5
57% Over 1.5 50%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Namungo

(Home)
11 Sept
Dodoma Jiji
1 : 0
Namungo
07 Sept
Azam
2 : 0
Namungo
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
JKT Tanzania
2 : 1
Namungo
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0
Fountain Gate
Page 1 of 6

Simba

(Away)
06 Sept
Mighty Wanderers FC
0 : 1
Simba
31 Aug
Simba
2 : 0
Geita Gold
27 Aug
Simba
1 : 0
Coastal Union
22 Aug
Singida Black Stars
1 : 2
Simba
19 Aug
Pamba
1 : 2
Simba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)