Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nancy vs Dunkerque

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Marcel Picot, Nancy
Fri, Aug 28, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nancy host Dunkerque in the Ligue 2. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Nancy at 1.45 goals for, 1.41 against; Dunkerque at 1.54 for, 1.5 against. Past meetings favor Nancy slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.06) point toward Nancy. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Nancy
35%
Draws
48%
Dunkerque
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dunkerque

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Dunkerque average 1.54 goals a game right now, well clear of Nancy's 1.45.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Dunkerque taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nancy have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Nancy Clean Sheet 20%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nancy Dunkerque
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 8 8
Draws 12 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.45 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Dunkerque
3:2
Aug 22, 2025 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Nancy
1:3
Feb 3, 2023 Ligue 3
Dunkerque vs Nancy
2:3
Aug 26, 2022 Ligue 3
Nancy vs Dunkerque
1:2
Feb 19, 2022 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Dunkerque
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nancy 28 / 100
Dunkerque 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nancy Dunkerque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunkerque Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunkerque's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 26 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Nancy found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Nancy remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nancy VS Dunkerque
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Nancy

(Home)
14 Aug
Nancy
0 : 1
Montpellier
08 Aug
Boulogne
0 : 0
Nancy
01 Aug
Nancy
2 : 2
Dijon
01 Aug
Epinal
0 : 0
Nancy
28 Jul
Nancy
1 : 1
Annecy
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Dunkerque

(Away)
14 Aug
Reims
3 : 3
Dunkerque
08 Aug
Dunkerque
4 : 2
Grenoble
01 Aug
KV Mechelen
0 : 0
Dunkerque
25 Jul
Dunkerque
3 : 1
Westerlo
22 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 1
Samsunspor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Annecy 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 7:5 4
4 Metz 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Montpellier 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Red Star 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 Rodez 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
8 Guingamp 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Pau 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Laval 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
11 Reims 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 Dijon 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 Nancy 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
14 Boulogne 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
15 Grenoble 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
16 Clermont 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
17 Sochaux 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
18 Nantes 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)