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Nancy vs Dunkerque - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Marcel Picot, Nancy
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
Daho A. In: Ayari K.
Out: Daho A.
30'
Prevot M.
33'
Sub
Decherf M. In: Ramos M.
Out: Decherf M.

AI Match Summary

Nancy in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nancy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Nancy
15%
Draws
21%
Dunkerque
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nancy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Nancy have won more games recently than Dunkerque.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Nancy taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nancy have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Nancy Clean Sheet 20%
Dunkerque Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nancy Dunkerque
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Dunkerque
2:0
May 9, 2026 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Dunkerque
3:2
Aug 22, 2025 Ligue 2
Dunkerque vs Nancy
1:3
Feb 3, 2023 Ligue 3
Dunkerque vs Nancy
2:3
Aug 26, 2022 Ligue 3
Nancy vs Dunkerque
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nancy Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bokangu B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Dunkerque Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nancy 85 / 100
Dunkerque 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nancy Dunkerque

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nancy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunkerque's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 27 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Nancy found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Nancy remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Nancy VS Dunkerque
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nancy

(Home)
02 Nov
Red Star
1 : 4
Nancy
23 Oct
Nancy
1 : 0
Laval
16 Oct
Annecy
1 : 2
Nancy
09 Oct
Nancy
1 : 0
Guingamp
02 Oct
Saarbrucken
2 : 1
Nancy
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Dunkerque

(Away)
30 Oct
Rodez
1 : 0
Dunkerque
23 Oct
Dunkerque
1 : 1
Metz
17 Oct
Nantes
2 : 3
Dunkerque
09 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 1
Annecy
02 Oct
Dunkerque
0 : 4
RAAL La Louviere
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 11 8 1 2 23:11 25
2 Montpellier 11 7 3 1 16:6 24
3 Nancy 11 7 1 3 16:9 22
4 Reims 11 5 6 0 22:12 21
5 Pau 11 6 2 3 16:11 20
6 Red Star 11 5 2 4 14:16 17
7 Annecy 11 5 1 5 14:15 16
8 Dijon 11 4 3 4 20:19 15
9 Guingamp 11 4 2 5 16:15 14
10 Metz 11 3 5 3 17:17 14
11 Rodez 11 4 1 6 17:22 13
12 Dunkerque 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 Sochaux 11 2 5 4 8:14 11
14 Boulogne 11 1 7 3 7:8 10
15 Nantes 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
16 Laval 11 2 3 6 14:21 9
17 Clermont 11 0 8 3 10:15 8
18 Grenoble 11 2 2 7 10:20 8
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)