Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nancy vs Montpellier

France France

Ligue 2 2025/2026 Stade Marcel Picot, Nancy
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Mbuku N.
Assist: El Hannach N.
18'
Junior Pereira da Silva E.
25'
Nahounou Y.

AI Match Summary

Montpellier in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montpellier.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nancy
30%
Draws
34%
Montpellier
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nancy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montpellier lately — more wins on the board than Nancy.
  • Win probability leans Nancy's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Montpellier have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Nancy Clean Sheet 10%
Montpellier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nancy Montpellier
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 11 6
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 3 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Ligue 2
Nancy vs Montpellier
0:3
Oct 25, 2025 Ligue 2
Montpellier vs Nancy
4:1
Oct 30, 2019 Coupe de la Ligue
Montpellier vs Nancy
3:2
Feb 11, 2017 Ligue 1
Nancy vs Montpellier
0:3
Nov 26, 2016 Ligue 1
Montpellier vs Nancy
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nancy Compare

Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Montpellier Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbuku N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Molebe E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nancy 34 / 100
Montpellier 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nancy Montpellier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Nancy remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Nancy's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Montpellier conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Nancy VS Montpellier
3 Goals Scored 2.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nancy

(Home)
01 Aug
Nancy
2 : 2
Dijon
01 Aug
Epinal
0 : 0
Nancy
28 Jul
Nancy
1 : 1
Annecy
24 Jul
Nancy
5 : 0
Haguenau
18 Jul
Thionville
2 : 2
Nancy
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Montpellier

(Away)
01 Aug
Montpellier
4 : 2
Rodez
25 Jul
Clermont
0 : 1
Montpellier
22 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 4
Cannes
17 Jul
Montpellier
5 : 2
Le Puy-en-Velay
11 Jul
Montpellier
3 : 2
Aubagne FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Troyes 34 20 7 7 60:33 67
2 Le Mans 34 16 14 4 50:31 62
3 St Etienne 34 18 6 10 59:38 60
4 Red Star 34 16 10 8 45:37 58
5 Rodez 34 15 13 6 45:39 58
6 Reims 34 14 14 6 53:35 56
7 Annecy 34 15 7 12 49:39 52
8 Montpellier 34 14 9 11 41:31 51
9 Pau 34 12 9 13 48:62 45
10 Dunkerque 34 11 10 13 53:45 43
11 Guingamp 34 10 10 14 42:49 40
12 Grenoble 34 8 15 11 33:39 39
13 Clermont 34 9 10 15 38:44 37
14 Nancy 34 9 10 15 35:52 37
15 Boulogne 34 9 9 16 34:49 36
16 Laval 34 6 14 14 30:48 32
17 Bastia 34 5 13 16 23:39 28
18 Amiens SC 34 6 6 22 37:65 24
19 AC Ajaccio 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 (Main)